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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Saturday 2 November 2024

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 2 November 2024. Leeds vs Plymouth (Leeds or draw) led the list at 94% in the Championship. The shortlist runs from 94% down to 85%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Super League supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 16 landed the double chance market — 80%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Championship Β· England Leeds or draw 94%
Leeds
3 : 0 FT
Plymouth
βœ“ Win 76%
Draw 18%
Win 6%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS No 61% ✓ Leeds Clean Sheet 58%
#2 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Muangthong United or draw 91%
Muangthong United
0 : 2 FT
Prachuap
Win 67%
Draw 23%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#3 Super League Β· China SHANGHAI SIPG or draw 90%
SHANGHAI SIPG
5 : 0 FT
Tianjin Teda
βœ“ Win 78%
Draw 12%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 83% BTTS Yes 68%
#4 Bundesliga Β· Austria Red Bull Salzburg or draw 90%
Red Bull Salzburg
0 : 0 FT
Grazer AK
Win 76%
Draw 14%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 61%
#5 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Ratchaburi or draw 90%
Ratchaburi
2 : 2 FT
Sukhothai FC
Win 72%
Draw 18%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#6 Super League Β· China Beijing Guoan or draw 89%
Beijing Guoan
1 : 1 FT
Henan Jianye
Win 71%
Draw 18%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 62%
#7 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany SV Elversberg or draw 88%
SSV Jahn Regensburg
1 : 0 FT
SV Elversberg
Win 12%
Draw 24%
Win 64%
✓ BTTS No 57%
#8 Super League Β· Switzerland FC ST. Gallen or draw 88%
FC ST. Gallen
1 : 1 FT
FC Sion
Win 70%
Draw 18%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 61%
#9 Premier League Β· Russia Zenit or draw 87%
Zenit
2 : 1 FT
Dinamo Makhachkala
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 36%
Win 13%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 67% Zenit Clean Sheet 59%
#10 Bundesliga Β· Germany 1. FC Heidenheim or draw 87%
Holstein Kiel
1 : 0 FT
1. FC Heidenheim
Win 13%
Draw 20%
Win 68%
Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 68%
#11 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Den Bosch or draw 87%
Den Bosch
1 : 1 FT
Roda
Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#12 Super League Β· China Shandong Luneng or draw 87%
Shandong Luneng
2 : 1 FT
Meizhou Kejia
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 57%
#13 La Liga Β· Spain Osasuna or draw 86%
Osasuna
1 : 0 FT
Valladolid
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 18%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 64%
#14 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Fortuna Sittard or draw 86%
Fortuna Sittard
3 : 0 FT
Heerenveen
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 20%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#15 Championship Β· England Blackburn or draw 86%
Blackburn
0 : 2 FT
Sheffield Utd
Win 52%
Draw 33%
Win 14%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 67% Blackburn Clean Sheet 57%
#16 Premier League Β· Ukraine Shakhtar Donetsk or draw 86%
Shakhtar Donetsk
2 : 1 FT
Chornomorets
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#17 Super League 1 Β· Greece Panetolikos or draw 85%
Kallithea
1 : 1 FT
Panetolikos
Win 15%
Draw 26%
Win 59%
✓ Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 57%
#18 Bundesliga Β· Germany Eintracht Frankfurt or draw 85%
Eintracht Frankfurt
7 : 2 FT
VfL Bochum
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#19 Bundesliga Β· Germany Bayern München or draw 85%
Bayern München
3 : 0 FT
Union Berlin
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 34%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#20 La Liga Β· Spain Girona or draw 85%
Girona
4 : 3 FT
Leganes
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 25%
Win 15%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 2 November 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Leeds vs Plymouth (Leeds or draw) at 94% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.