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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Sunday 30 June 2024

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

Seven fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 30 June 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Chengdu Better City vs Shijiazhuang Y. J. (Chengdu Better City or draw) at 93% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 93% down to 75%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Serie A supplies four of the top 7, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the seven fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the double chance market — 100%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League Β· China Chengdu Better City or draw 93%
Chengdu Better City
4 : 0 FT
Shijiazhuang Y. J.
βœ“ Win 82%
Draw 11%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 79% BTTS Yes 58%
#2 Serie A Β· Brazil Fortaleza EC or draw 91%
Fortaleza EC
2 : 1 FT
Juventude
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 22%
Win 9%
BTTS No 56%
#3 Super League Β· China Shanghai Shenhua or draw 85%
Qingdao Youth Island
0 : 1 FT
Shanghai Shenhua
Win 15%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 60%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#4 Serie A Β· Brazil Flamengo or draw 84%
Flamengo
2 : 1 FT
Cruzeiro
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 29%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 57%
#5 Superettan Β· Sweden Landskrona BoIS or draw 80%
Landskrona BoIS
4 : 3 FT
Ostersunds FK
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 54%
#6 Serie A Β· Brazil Gremio or draw 78%
Gremio
1 : 0 FT
Fluminense
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 34%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#7 Serie A Β· Brazil Internacional or draw 75%
Criciuma
1 : 1 FT
Internacional
Win 25%
Draw 30%
Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 53%

Showing top 7 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 30 June 2024?

seven fixtures met the criteria, led by Chengdu Better City vs Shijiazhuang Y. J. (Chengdu Better City or draw) at 93% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.