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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Saturday 1 July 2023

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists seven fixtures on Saturday 1 July 2023. Malmo FF vs Sirius (Malmo FF or draw) sits top on 87% in the Allsvenskan. The shortlist runs from 87% down to 76%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans five different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the seven fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the double chance market — 71%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden Malmo FF or draw 87%
Malmo FF
3 : 0 FT
Sirius
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 19%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 57%
#2 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland KuPS or draw 81%
Lahti
3 : 4 FT
KuPS
Win 19%
Draw 37%
βœ“ Win 44%
Under 2.5 76% BTTS No 67% KuPS Clean Sheet 53%
#3 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada Valour or draw 81%
Valour
0 : 2 FT
Cavalry FC
Win 51%
Draw 30%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#4 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland SJK or draw 81%
Ilves
1 : 1 FT
SJK
Win 19%
Draw 32%
Win 49%
✓ Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 62%
#5 Serie A Β· Brazil Bahia or draw 78%
Bahia
1 : 2 FT
Gremio
Win 56%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#6 Serie A Β· Brazil Flamengo or draw 77%
Flamengo
2 : 0 FT
Fortaleza EC
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 28%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#7 K League 1 Β· South-Korea FC Seoul or draw 76%
FC Seoul
0 : 0 FT
Daejeon Citizen
Win 51%
Draw 25%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 62%

Showing top 7 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 1 July 2023?

seven fixtures met the criteria, led by Malmo FF vs Sirius (Malmo FF or draw) at 87% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.