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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Sunday 4 June 2023

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 4 June 2023. The strongest reading belongs to IF Elfsborg vs Djurgardens IF (IF Elfsborg or draw) at 95% in the Allsvenskan. The shortlist runs from 95% down to 77%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Serie A supplies four of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 17 landed the double chance market — 85%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden IF Elfsborg or draw 95%
IF Elfsborg
1 : 1 FT
Djurgardens IF
Win 83%
Draw 12%
Win 5%
Over 2.5 76%
#2 Premier League Β· Ukraine Dynamo Kyiv or draw 92%
FC Kharkiv
1 : 1 FT
Dynamo Kyiv
Win 8%
Draw 17%
Win 76%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS No 61% Dynamo Kyiv Clean Sheet 57%
#3 Serie A Β· Italy Napoli or draw 91%
Napoli
2 : 0 FT
Sampdoria
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 15%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 62%
#4 Serie A Β· Brazil Palmeiras or draw 89%
Palmeiras
3 : 1 FT
Coritiba
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 21%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#5 Serie A Β· Brazil Santos or draw 87%
Santos
1 : 1 FT
Internacional
Win 58%
Draw 29%
Win 13%
✓ Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 58%
#6 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Twente or draw 86%
Twente
4 : 0 FT
Heerenveen
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 19%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 65%
#7 La Liga Β· Spain Real Madrid or draw 85%
Real Madrid
1 : 1 FT
Athletic Club
Win 66%
Draw 19%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#8 Eliteserien Β· Norway Stromsgodset or draw 85%
Stromsgodset
1 : 2 FT
Haugesund
Win 52%
Draw 33%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 62%
#9 Serie A Β· Italy AC Milan or draw 84%
AC Milan
3 : 1 FT
Hellas Verona
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 25%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 60%
#10 La Liga Β· Spain Mallorca or draw 84%
Mallorca
3 : 0 FT
Rayo Vallecano
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 25%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#11 Premier League Β· Ukraine Chornomorets or draw 83%
Metal Kharkiv
0 : 3 FT
Chornomorets
Win 17%
Draw 18%
βœ“ Win 65%
✓ Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 63%
#12 Eliteserien Β· Norway Lillestrom or draw 82%
Lillestrom
3 : 1 FT
Stabaek
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#13 Premier League Β· Ukraine Zorya Luhansk or draw 82%
Minai
0 : 3 FT
Zorya Luhansk
Win 18%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 54%
Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#14 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada HFX Wanderers FC or draw 81%
Atlético Ottawa
2 : 0 FT
HFX Wanderers FC
Win 19%
Draw 36%
Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#15 Serie A Β· Brazil Fluminense or draw 81%
Fluminense
2 : 1 FT
RB Bragantino
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 29%
Win 19%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#16 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Pardubice or draw 81%
Pardubice
0 : 0 FT
Příbram
Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
BTTS Yes 54%
#17 Serie A Β· Italy AS Roma or draw 80%
AS Roma
2 : 1 FT
Spezia
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 54%
#18 Premier League Β· Ukraine Shakhtar Donetsk or draw 79%
Vorskla Poltava
2 : 1 FT
Shakhtar Donetsk
Win 21%
Draw 23%
Win 55%
#19 Premier League Β· Ukraine Dnipro-1 or draw 78%
Dnipro-1
1 : 0 FT
Kryvbas KR
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 24%
Win 22%
#20 Serie A Β· Italy Bologna or draw 77%
Lecce
2 : 3 FT
Bologna
Win 23%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 51%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 54%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 4 June 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by IF Elfsborg vs Djurgardens IF (IF Elfsborg or draw) at 95% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.