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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Monday 2 January 2023

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists nine fixtures on Monday 2 January 2023. Stevenage vs Gillingham (Stevenage or draw) sits top on 92% in the League Two. The shortlist runs from 92% down to 76%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Championship supplies three of the top 9, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the nine fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the double chance market — 100%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League Two Β· England Stevenage or draw 92%
Stevenage
1 : 0 FT
Gillingham
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 20%
Win 8%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 71% ✓ Stevenage Clean Sheet 65%
#2 League One Β· England Sheffield Wednesday or draw 86%
Sheffield Wednesday
5 : 0 FT
Cambridge United
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
✓ BTTS No 55%
#3 League One Β· England Derby or draw 84%
Derby
4 : 0 FT
Accrington ST
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#4 Championship Β· England Hull City or draw 81%
Wigan
1 : 4 FT
Hull City
Win 19%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 58%
#5 Championship Β· England West Brom or draw 81%
West Brom
1 : 0 FT
Reading
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
#6 Championship Β· England Sheffield Utd or draw 78%
QPR
1 : 1 FT
Sheffield Utd
Win 22%
Draw 26%
Win 52%
✓ Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 55%
#7 Ligue 1 Β· France Rennes or draw 78%
Rennes
2 : 1 FT
Nice
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
#8 League Two Β· England Barrow or draw 76%
Barrow
0 : 0 FT
Rochdale
Win 52%
Draw 24%
Win 24%
BTTS Yes 53%
#9 Ligue 1 Β· France Marseille or draw 76%
Montpellier
1 : 2 FT
Marseille
Win 24%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 51%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%

Showing top 9 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Monday 2 January 2023?

nine fixtures met the criteria, led by Stevenage vs Gillingham (Stevenage or draw) at 92% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.