Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 31 December 2022
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
The model shortlists eleven fixtures on Saturday 31 December 2022. Manchester City vs Everton (Manchester City or draw) sits top on 88% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 88% down to 77%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.
Super League supplies five of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.
Of the eleven fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the double chance market — 100%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Premier League · England
Manchester City or draw
88%
Super League · China
Shandong Luneng or draw
87%
Super League · China
Hangzhou Greentown or draw
87%
La Liga · Spain
Barcelona or draw
86%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Nassr or draw
86%
Super League · China
Meizhou Kejia or draw
85%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Taee or draw
84%
Premier League · England
Newcastle or draw
83%
Super League · China
SHANGHAI SIPG or draw
80%
Super League · China
Chengdu Better City or draw
79%
Super League · China
Shijiazhuang Y. J. or draw
77%
Showing top 11 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
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Portuguese Football PredictionsDouble Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 31 December 2022?
eleven fixtures met the criteria, led by Manchester City vs Everton (Manchester City or draw) at 88% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.