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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Monday 26 December 2022

Fri 23 Sat 24 Sun 25 Mon 26 Tue 27 Wed 28 Thu 29

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 15 fixtures on Monday 26 December 2022. Kortrijk vs Genk (Genk or draw) sits top on 90% in the Jupiler Pro League. The shortlist runs from 90% down to 75%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Serie B supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 15 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the double chance market — 67%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium Genk or draw 90%

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium Union St. Gilloise or draw 85%

✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 57%

Premier League · England Arsenal or draw 83%

Serie B · Italy Frosinone or draw 82%

Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 57%

Serie B · Italy Cagliari or draw 81%

Ligue 2 · France Le Havre or draw 79%

✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 60%

League Two · England Stockport County or draw 79%

✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 60%

Serie B · Italy Parma or draw 78%

Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 53%

Premier League · England Everton or draw 76%

Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 58%

#10

Championship · England Watford or draw 76%

✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 53%

#11

Ligue 2 · France Valenciennes or draw 76%

✓ Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 57%

#12

League One · England Charlton or draw 76%

Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%

#13

Premier League · England Crystal Palace or draw 75%

✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 56%

#14

League Two · England Crawley Town or draw 75%

Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 54%

#15

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium Club Brugge KV or draw 75%

Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%

Showing top 15 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Monday 26 December 2022?

15 fixtures met the criteria, led by Kortrijk vs Genk (Genk or draw) at 90% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.