Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Sunday 24 July 2022
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 24 July 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Atletico-MG vs Corinthians (Atletico-MG or draw) at 82% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 82% down to 75%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.
The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.
Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the double chance market — 55%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Serie A · Brazil
Atletico-MG or draw
82%
Primera División · Chile
Everton de Vina or draw
80%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
KuPS or draw
80%
Super League · Switzerland
FC Basel 1893 or draw
80%
Superettan · Sweden
IF Brommapojkarna or draw
80%
Eliteserien · Norway
Molde or draw
80%
Premier League · Russia
Akhmat or draw
79%
Bundesliga · Austria
Rapid Vienna or draw
79%
Canadian Premier League · Canada
Atlético Ottawa or draw
79%
Bundesliga · Austria
TSV Hartberg or draw
79%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Karlsruher SC or draw
79%
Serie A · Brazil
Atletico Goianiense or draw
78%
Serie A · Brazil
Atletico Paranaense or draw
77%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Anderlecht or draw
77%
Primera División · Chile
U. Catolica or draw
76%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Pogon Szczecin or draw
76%
Eliteserien · Norway
Stromsgodset or draw
76%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Hamburger SV or draw
76%
Primera División · Chile
O'Higgins or draw
76%
Serie A · Brazil
Ceara or draw
75%
Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
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Double Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 24 July 2022?
20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Atletico-MG vs Corinthians (Atletico-MG or draw) at 82% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.