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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Sunday 3 July 2022

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists twelve fixtures on Sunday 3 July 2022. Shandong Luneng vs Guangzhou R&F (Shandong Luneng or draw) sits top on 96% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 96% down to 76%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Super League supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the twelve fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the double chance market — 67%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League Β· China Shandong Luneng or draw 96%
Shandong Luneng
2 : 0 FT
Guangzhou R&F
βœ“ Win 82%
Draw 14%
Win 4%
Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 60% ✓ Shandong Luneng Clean Sheet 58%
#2 Primera División Β· Chile U. Catolica or draw 90%
U. Catolica
2 : 0 FT
Coquimbo Unido
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 21%
Win 10%
✓ BTTS No 60% ✓ U. Catolica Clean Sheet 54%
#3 Serie A Β· Brazil Palmeiras or draw 81%
Palmeiras
0 : 2 FT
Atletico Paranaense
Win 54%
Draw 27%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#4 Serie A Β· Brazil America Mineiro or draw 81%
America Mineiro
1 : 0 FT
Goias
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 29%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#5 Super League Β· China Wuhan Three Towns or draw 80%
Wuhan Three Towns
4 : 2 FT
Shanghai Shenhua
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#6 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden Djurgardens IF or draw 79%
Djurgardens IF
1 : 0 FT
Hammarby FF
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 22%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 56%
#7 K League 1 Β· South-Korea Daegu FC or draw 79%
Daegu FC
0 : 0 FT
Suwon City FC
Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#8 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden IFK Norrkoping or draw 78%
IFK Norrkoping
0 : 1 FT
Sirius
Win 58%
Draw 21%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 63%
#9 Superettan Β· Sweden AFC Eskilstuna or draw 77%
AFC Eskilstuna
3 : 1 FT
IF Brommapojkarna
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 19%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS Yes 73%
#10 Super League Β· China Meizhou Kejia or draw 77%
Meizhou Kejia
1 : 0 FT
Shenzhen Ruby FC
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 23%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 71%
#11 Serie A Β· Brazil Avai or draw 76%
Avai
1 : 2 FT
Cuiaba
Win 50%
Draw 27%
Win 24%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#12 Serie A Β· Brazil Atletico Goianiense or draw 76%
Atletico Goianiense
1 : 2 FT
Sao Paulo
Win 44%
Draw 32%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 58%

Showing top 12 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 3 July 2022?

twelve fixtures met the criteria, led by Shandong Luneng vs Guangzhou R&F (Shandong Luneng or draw) at 96% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.