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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Saturday 2 July 2022

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

Eleven matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 2 July 2022. Honka vs Mariehamn (Honka or draw) led the list at 87% in the Veikkausliiga. The shortlist runs from 87% down to 75%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the eleven fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the double chance market — 55%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland Honka or draw 87%
Honka
1 : 1 FT
Mariehamn
Win 68%
Draw 19%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 56%
#2 K League 1 Β· South-Korea Jeonbuk Motors or draw 85%
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
1 : 2 FT
Jeonbuk Motors
Win 15%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 59%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 64% Jeonbuk Motors Clean Sheet 54%
#3 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden AIK Stockholm or draw 83%
AIK Stockholm
0 : 1 FT
Mjallby AIF
Win 55%
Draw 29%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 67% AIK Stockholm Clean Sheet 55%
#4 Primera División Β· Chile Universidad de Chile or draw 82%
Universidad de Chile
2 : 1 FT
Union La Calera
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 27%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 54%
#5 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland Inter Turku or draw 82%
Lahti
2 : 1 FT
Inter Turku
Win 18%
Draw 23%
Win 60%
✓ Over 2.5 53%
#6 Eliteserien Β· Norway Haugesund or draw 81%
jerv
1 : 0 FT
Haugesund
Win 19%
Draw 21%
Win 59%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 56%
#7 Serie A Β· Brazil Santos or draw 79%
Santos
1 : 2 FT
Flamengo
Win 51%
Draw 28%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 56%
#8 Premier Division Β· Ireland Sligo Rovers or draw 78%
Sligo Rovers
3 : 1 FT
Shelbourne
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 29%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 60%
#9 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden Kalmar FF or draw 77%
Helsingborg
1 : 1 FT
Kalmar FF
Win 23%
Draw 26%
Win 50%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#10 Eliteserien Β· Norway Bodo/Glimt or draw 76%
ODD Ballklubb
3 : 2 FT
Bodo/Glimt
Win 24%
Draw 23%
Win 53%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#11 Serie A Β· Brazil Internacional or draw 75%
Ceara
1 : 1 FT
Internacional
Win 25%
Draw 34%
Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 63%

Showing top 11 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 2 July 2022?

eleven fixtures met the criteria, led by Honka vs Mariehamn (Honka or draw) at 87% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.