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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Sunday 3 April 2022

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 3 April 2022. Standard Liege vs Union St. Gilloise (Union St. Gilloise or draw) led the list at 92% in the Jupiler Pro League. The shortlist runs from 92% down to 79%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 19 landed the double chance market — 95%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Union St. Gilloise or draw 92%
Standard Liege
1 : 3 FT
Union St. Gilloise
Win 8%
Draw 17%
βœ“ Win 75%
✓ Over 2.5 53% BTTS No 60% Union St. Gilloise Clean Sheet 55%
#2 Ligue 1 Β· France Paris Saint Germain or draw 89%
Paris Saint Germain
5 : 1 FT
Lorient
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 19%
Win 11%
BTTS No 57%
#3 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Genk or draw 87%
Genk
5 : 0 FT
AS Eupen
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
✓ BTTS No 53%
#4 Premier League Β· England West Ham or draw 86%
West Ham
2 : 1 FT
Everton
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 20%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
#5 Primera División Β· Chile O'Higgins or draw 83%
O'Higgins
2 : 1 FT
Coquimbo Unido
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
#6 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Alanyaspor or draw 82%
Alanyaspor
2 : 1 FT
Rizespor
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 20%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#7 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Sporting CP or draw 82%
Sporting CP
2 : 0 FT
Pacos Ferreira
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 35%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#8 Premier League Β· Russia CSKA Moscow or draw 82%
CSKA Moscow
2 : 2 FT
Ural
Win 53%
Draw 29%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 54%
#9 Serie B Β· Italy Brescia or draw 82%
Brescia
2 : 0 FT
Vicenza Virtus
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 29%
Win 18%
BTTS Yes 53%
#10 Super League 1 Β· Greece Olympiakos Piraeus or draw 82%
Olympiakos Piraeus
1 : 1 FT
AEK Athens FC
Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 56%
#11 Bundesliga Β· Austria Red Bull Salzburg or draw 82%
Red Bull Salzburg
2 : 1 FT
Rapid Vienna
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#12 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Kasımpaşa or draw 81%
Kasımpaşa
2 : 1 FT
Gaziantep FK
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
#13 La Liga Β· Spain Barcelona or draw 80%
Barcelona
1 : 0 FT
Sevilla
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 29%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#14 Ligue 1 Β· France Strasbourg or draw 80%
Strasbourg
1 : 0 FT
Lens
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
#15 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden IFK Goteborg or draw 80%
IFK Goteborg
2 : 1 FT
IFK Varnamo
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#16 Ligue 1 Β· France Marseille or draw 80%
Saint Etienne
2 : 4 FT
Marseille
Win 20%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 56%
#17 Serie A Β· Italy Fiorentina or draw 80%
Fiorentina
1 : 0 FT
Empoli
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 30%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#18 Serie B Β· Italy Monza or draw 80%
Como
2 : 0 FT
Monza
Win 20%
Draw 31%
Win 48%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#19 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Konyaspor or draw 79%
Konyaspor
3 : 0 FT
Göztepe
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 23%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 56%
#20 La Liga Β· Spain Athletic Club or draw 79%
Athletic Club
2 : 1 FT
Elche
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 21%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 3 April 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Standard Liege vs Union St. Gilloise (Union St. Gilloise or draw) at 92% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.