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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Saturday 26 March 2022

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

Twelve fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 26 March 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Excelsior vs Helmond Sport (Excelsior or draw) at 87% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 87% down to 76%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

League Two supplies seven of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the twelve fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the double chance market — 83%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Excelsior or draw 87%
Excelsior
3 : 0 FT
Helmond Sport
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 18%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 56%
#2 League Two Β· England Exeter City or draw 85%
Exeter City
2 : 1 FT
Stevenage
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 29%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 57%
#3 League One Β· England Sheffield Wednesday or draw 85%
Sheffield Wednesday
4 : 1 FT
Cheltenham
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 20%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#4 League Two Β· England Salford City or draw 83%
Salford City
2 : 1 FT
Walsall
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 29%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 56%
#5 League Two Β· England Bristol Rovers or draw 81%
Carlisle
1 : 0 FT
Bristol Rovers
Win 19%
Draw 31%
Win 50%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#6 League One Β· England Accrington ST or draw 78%
Accrington ST
1 : 2 FT
Gillingham
Win 51%
Draw 27%
Win 22%
#7 League Two Β· England Crawley Town or draw 78%
Crawley Town
1 : 0 FT
Rochdale
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 29%
Win 22%
BTTS Yes 54%
#8 League Two Β· England Port Vale or draw 77%
Port Vale
2 : 0 FT
Sutton Utd
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 30%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#9 League Two Β· England Northampton or draw 77%
Northampton
2 : 0 FT
Hartlepool
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 32%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#10 League Two Β· England Newport County or draw 77%
Bradford
0 : 0 FT
Newport County
Win 23%
Draw 30%
Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#11 League One Β· England Charlton or draw 76%
Doncaster
0 : 1 FT
Charlton
Win 24%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#12 League Two Β· England Mansfield Town or draw 76%
Oldham
1 : 2 FT
Mansfield Town
Win 24%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 47%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%

Showing top 12 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 26 March 2022?

twelve fixtures met the criteria, led by Excelsior vs Helmond Sport (Excelsior or draw) at 87% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.