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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 29 January 2022

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Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 18 fixtures on Saturday 29 January 2022. FC Eindhoven vs MVV (FC Eindhoven or draw) sits top on 86% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 86% down to 75%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

League Two supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 18 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 15 landed the double chance market — 83%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands FC Eindhoven or draw 86%

League Two · England Exeter City or draw 86%

✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 55%

League One · England Wigan or draw 84%

Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 57%

Super League 1 · Greece Panathinaikos or draw 84%

✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 63%

Championship · England Fulham or draw 82%

Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%

League One · England Oxford United or draw 80%

Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 62%

League Two · England Port Vale or draw 80%

Championship · England Bournemouth or draw 78%

✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 62%

League Two · England Newport County or draw 78%

#10

League One · England Rotherham or draw 77%

✓ Under 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS No 68%

#11

Super League 1 · Greece OFI or draw 77%

Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 53%

#12

League One · England Accrington ST or draw 77%

✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%

#13

League One · England Plymouth or draw 77%

#14

League Two · England Swindon Town or draw 77%

Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%

#15

League Two · England Mansfield Town or draw 76%

#16

Challenger Pro League · Belgium Deinze or draw 76%

✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%

#17

Super League 1 · Greece Ionikos or draw 76%

Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 56%

#18

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium Cercle Brugge or draw 75%

✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%

Showing top 18 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 29 January 2022?

18 fixtures met the criteria, led by FC Eindhoven vs MVV (FC Eindhoven or draw) at 86% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.