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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Sunday 26 December 2021

Thu 23 Fri 24 Sat 25 Sun 26 Mon 27 Tue 28 Wed 29

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 26 December 2021. Manchester City vs Leicester (Manchester City or draw) sits top on 88% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 88% down to 76%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

League One supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 14 landed the double chance market — 70%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · England Manchester City or draw 88%

✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%

Süper Lig · Turkey Rizespor or draw 86%

✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 58%

League Two · England Mansfield Town or draw 85%

Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 54%

League One · England Milton Keynes Dons or draw 84%

Premier League · England West Ham or draw 82%

✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%

Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates Al Wahda FC or draw 81%

Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 53%

Süper Lig · Turkey Fenerbahçe or draw 81%

✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 60%

Super League · China Guangzhou Evergrande FC or draw 81%

Guangzhou Evergrande FC

Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 56%

League One · England Rotherham or draw 81%

✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 56%

#10

League One · England Fleetwood Town or draw 81%

#11

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia Al-Ittihad FC or draw 78%

✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%

#12

Super League · China Shandong Luneng or draw 77%

#13

League Two · England Tranmere or draw 77%

✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 64%

#14

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia Al-Nassr or draw 77%

Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 65%

#15

Championship · England Nottingham Forest or draw 77%

✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 55%

#16

Süper Lig · Turkey Adana Demirspor or draw 77%

#17

Premier League · England Chelsea or draw 77%

#18

League One · England Plymouth or draw 76%

Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 60%

#19

Premier League · England Arsenal or draw 76%

Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 54%

#20

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia Al Taee or draw 76%

Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 59%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 26 December 2021?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Manchester City vs Leicester (Manchester City or draw) at 88% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.