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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Saturday 4 September 2021

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

Seven fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 4 September 2021. The strongest reading belongs to Bradford vs Walsall (Bradford or draw) at 86% in the League Two. The shortlist runs from 86% down to 75%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

League Two supplies four of the top 7, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the seven fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the double chance market — 86%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League Two Β· England Bradford or draw 86%
Bradford v Walsall prediction
Win 57%
Draw 29%
Win 14%
✓ Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 55%
#2 League One Β· England Accrington ST or draw 81%
Accrington ST v Shrewsbury prediction
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 29%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 66%
#3 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Chiangmai United or draw 76%
#4 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Prachuap or draw 76%
Prachuap v Muangthong United prediction
Win 41%
Draw 35%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 57%
#5 League Two Β· England Rochdale or draw 75%
Port Vale v Rochdale prediction
Win 25%
Draw 37%
βœ“ Win 39%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 59%
#6 League Two Β· England Swindon Town or draw 75%
Stevenage v Swindon Town prediction
Win 25%
Draw 36%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 57%
#7 League Two Β· England Harrogate Town or draw 75%
Mansfield Town v Harrogate Town prediction
Win 25%
Draw 32%
βœ“ Win 43%
Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%

Showing top 7 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 4 September 2021?

seven fixtures met the criteria, led by Bradford vs Walsall (Bradford or draw) at 86% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.