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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Monday 1 January 2024

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

The model shortlists 37 fixtures on Monday 1 January 2024. Crawley Town vs Swindon Town sits top on 74% in the League Two. The shortlist runs from 74% down to 31%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

League Two supplies six of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · England
Sunderland
2 : 0 FT
Preston
✓ Win 46%
Draw 25%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Championship · England
Blackburn
2 : 2 FT
Rotherham
Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 11%
Championship · England
Bristol City
0 : 1 FT
Millwall
Win 41%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Championship · England
Leeds
3 : 0 FT
Birmingham
✓ Win 70%
Draw 17%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 2–0 · 10%
Championship · England
Leicester
4 : 1 FT
Huddersfield
✓ Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 13%
BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Championship · England
Middlesbrough
1 : 3 FT
Coventry
Win 35%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 36%
Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Championship · England
Norwich
1 : 1 FT
Southampton
Win 42%
Draw 29%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 54%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Championship · England
Plymouth
3 : 3 FT
Watford
Win 38%
Draw 22%
Win 40%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
Model Score 1–1 · 9%
Championship · England
QPR
1 : 2 FT
Cardiff
Win 34%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 37%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Championship · England
Stoke City
0 : 0 FT
Ipswich
Win 28%
Draw 31%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 62%
Model Score 0–1 · 16%
Championship · England
Swansea
1 : 0 FT
West Brom
Win 31%
Draw 28%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League One · England
Barnsley
1 : 1 FT
Wigan
Win 57%
Draw 23%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 10%
League One · England
Blackpool
2 : 0 FT
Lincoln
✓ Win 46%
Draw 26%
Win 27%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League One · England
Bolton
1 : 0 FT
Burton Albion
✓ Win 65%
Draw 21%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 58%
Model Score 2–0 · 11%
League One · England
Cambridge United
0 : 2 FT
Leyton Orient
Win 36%
Draw 31%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League One · England
Carlisle
2 : 1 FT
Port Vale
Win 31%
Draw 32%
Win 37%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
League One · England
Charlton
1 : 2 FT
Oxford United
Win 45%
Draw 24%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
League One · England
Derby
2 : 3 FT
Peterborough
Win 48%
Draw 27%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League One · England
Northampton
1 : 0 FT
Cheltenham
✓ Win 46%
Draw 28%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League One · England
Portsmouth
2 : 1 FT
Stevenage
✓ Win 37%
Draw 28%
Win 36%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League One · England
Reading
3 : 2 FT
Exeter City
✓ Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 58%
Model Score 2–0 · 12%
League One · England
Shrewsbury
3 : 1 FT
Fleetwood Town
✓ Win 39%
Draw 29%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League One · England
Wycombe
3 : 2 FT
Bristol Rovers
Win 30%
Draw 30%
Win 40%
Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League Two · England
Accrington ST
3 : 0 FT
Salford City
Win 36%
Draw 27%
Win 37%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League Two · England
Colchester
0 : 1 FT
Gillingham
Win 45%
Draw 28%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League Two · England
Crawley Town
3 : 1 FT
Swindon Town
✓ Win 54%
Draw 21%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
League Two · England
Crewe
1 : 0 FT
Bradford
Win 36%
Draw 23%
Win 40%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 1–1 · 9%
League Two · England
Doncaster
3 : 0 FT
Milton Keynes Dons
Win 26%
Draw 24%
Win 50%
✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
League Two · England
Forest Green
1 : 1 FT
AFC Wimbledon
Win 23%
Draw 29%
Win 48%
✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 0–1 · 15%
League Two · England
Grimsby
1 : 6 FT
Walsall
Win 45%
Draw 24%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
League Two · England
Morecambe
2 : 2 FT
Harrogate Town
Win 32%
Draw 28%
Win 40%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League Two · England
Stockport County
0 : 2 FT
Mansfield Town
Win 49%
Draw 26%
Win 26%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League Two · England
Sutton Utd
1 : 1 FT
Newport County
Win 45%
Draw 28%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League Two · England
Tranmere
4 : 2 FT
Notts County
✓ Win 61%
Draw 20%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
League Two · England
Wrexham
4 : 1 FT
Barrow
Win 33%
Draw 24%
Win 43%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Championship · England
Sheffield Wednesday
3 : 1 FT
Hull City
Win 32%
Draw 24%
Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Premier League · England
Liverpool
4 : 2 FT
Newcastle
✓ Win 69%
Draw 17%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 2–0 · 10%

Showing 37 of 37 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Monday 1 January 2024?

37 fixtures met the criteria, led by Crawley Town vs Swindon Town at 74% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.