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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Saturday 7 January 2023

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

34 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 7 January 2023. Cercle Brugge vs KVC Westerlo led the list at 68% in the Jupiler Pro League. The shortlist runs from 68% down to 31%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Jupiler Pro League supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Fayha
2 : 2 FT
Al Baten
Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
League Two · England
Salford City
2 : 1 FT
Northampton
Win 21%
Draw 25%
Win 54%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Hatayspor
0 : 0 FT
Antalyaspor
Win 43%
Draw 25%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Serie A · Italy
Fiorentina
2 : 1 FT
Sassuolo
✓ Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ettifaq
2 : 1 FT
Abha
Win 34%
Draw 29%
Win 37%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League One · England
Cambridge United
1 : 2 FT
Bristol Rovers
Win 32%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 40%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League One · England
Charlton
2 : 1 FT
Lincoln
✓ Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 24%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
League One · England
Bolton
0 : 0 FT
Plymouth
Win 40%
Draw 29%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League One · England
Morecambe
2 : 1 FT
Cheltenham
✓ Win 48%
Draw 30%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%
League Two · England
Harrogate Town
1 : 3 FT
Colchester
Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
League Two · England
Leyton Orient
1 : 0 FT
Doncaster
✓ Win 69%
Draw 21%
Win 10%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 66% ✓ Leyton Orient Clean Sheet 59%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 17%
League Two · England
Mansfield Town
2 : 3 FT
Barrow
Win 55%
Draw 23%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
League Two · England
Rochdale
1 : 1 FT
Newport County
Win 23%
Draw 27%
Win 50%
✓ Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 0–1 · 15%
League Two · England
Tranmere
2 : 2 FT
Sutton Utd
Win 51%
Draw 27%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
League Two · England
Crewe
0 : 0 FT
AFC Wimbledon
Win 30%
Draw 29%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
AS Eupen
1 : 2 FT
Charleroi
Win 46%
Draw 23%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
La Liga · Spain
Villarreal
2 : 1 FT
Real Madrid
Win 31%
Draw 26%
Win 43%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Waalwijk
0 : 0 FT
Heerenveen
Win 45%
Draw 24%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Arouca
2 : 0 FT
Estoril
✓ Win 38%
Draw 28%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Super League 1 · Greece
Levadiakos
1 : 3 FT
PAS Giannina
Win 37%
Draw 39%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Beşiktaş
2 : 1 FT
Kasımpaşa
✓ Win 54%
Draw 26%
Win 20%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Serie A · Italy
Juventus
1 : 0 FT
Udinese
✓ Win 58%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Cercle Brugge
0 : 1 FT
KVC Westerlo
Win 59%
Draw 20%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Oostende
1 : 2 FT
Seraing United
Win 44%
Draw 22%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 1–1 · 9%
La Liga · Spain
Mallorca
1 : 0 FT
Valladolid
✓ Win 54%
Draw 27%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 60%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Super League 1 · Greece
Lamia
0 : 3 FT
PAOK
Win 18%
Draw 34%
✓ Win 48%
Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 0–1 · 15%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
AZ Alkmaar
1 : 1 FT
Vitesse
Win 40%
Draw 25%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Vitória SC
0 : 0 FT
Rio Ave
Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Fortuna Sittard
0 : 2 FT
GO Ahead Eagles
Win 31%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 41%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie A · Italy
Monza
2 : 2 FT
Inter
Win 40%
Draw 25%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Antwerp
2 : 0 FT
Gent
✓ Win 39%
Draw 26%
Win 35%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
PSV Eindhoven
0 : 0 FT
Sparta Rotterdam
Win 60%
Draw 21%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
La Liga · Spain
Espanyol
2 : 2 FT
Girona
Win 41%
Draw 26%
Win 33%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Casa Pia
0 : 0 FT
FC Porto
Win 23%
Draw 28%
Win 48%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 59%
Model Score 0–1 · 15%

Showing 34 of 34 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Saturday 7 January 2023?

34 fixtures met the criteria, led by Cercle Brugge vs KVC Westerlo at 68% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.