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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Sunday 26 December 2021

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

33 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 26 December 2021. The strongest reading belongs to Oostende vs Genk at 67% in the Jupiler Pro League. The shortlist runs from 67% down to 27%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Super League Β· China
Changchun Yatai
2 : 1 FT
Guangzhou R&F
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 31%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Super League Β· China
SHANGHAI SIPG
3 : 1 FT
Shenzhen Ruby FC
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 28%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Rizespor
0 : 1 FT
Gaziantep FK
Win 60%
Draw 26%
Win 14%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Taee
3 : 1 FT
Al-Faisaly FC
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 32%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%
Super League Β· China
Shandong Luneng
2 : 0 FT
Hebei Zhongji
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 31%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Super League Β· China
Guangzhou Evergrande FC
1 : 0 FT
Beijing Guoan
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 27%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Cercle Brugge
2 : 0 FT
Club Brugge KV
Win 24%
Draw 24%
Win 51%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Alanyaspor
1 : 1 FT
Fatih Karagümrük
Win 42%
Draw 26%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Göztepe
1 : 1 FT
Adana Demirspor
Win 23%
Draw 28%
Win 48%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 13%
Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Ittihad Kalba
2 : 1 FT
Al Wahda FC
Win 19%
Draw 35%
Win 47%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 53%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 15%
Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
1 : 0 FT
Al-Dhafra
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 33%
Win 25%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Nassr
2 : 1 FT
Al-Hazm
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 34%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 65%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 18%
Premier League Β· England
Manchester City
6 : 3 FT
Leicester
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 17%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 10%
Premier League Β· England
Norwich
0 : 5 FT
Arsenal
Win 24%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 49%
Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%
Premier League Β· England
Tottenham
3 : 0 FT
Crystal Palace
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 26%
Win 27%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Premier League Β· England
West Ham
2 : 3 FT
Southampton
Win 62%
Draw 20%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
Championship Β· England
Huddersfield
3 : 2 FT
Blackpool
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 32%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Championship Β· England
Middlesbrough
2 : 0 FT
Nottingham Forest
Win 23%
Draw 30%
Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%
League One Β· England
Accrington ST
1 : 0 FT
Rotherham
Win 19%
Draw 27%
Win 54%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 15%
League One Β· England
Cheltenham
0 : 2 FT
Plymouth
Win 24%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 53%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
League One Β· England
Fleetwood Town
0 : 3 FT
Shrewsbury
Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 12%
League One Β· England
Lincoln
2 : 3 FT
Milton Keynes Dons
Win 16%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 62%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 11%
League Two Β· England
Mansfield Town
3 : 2 FT
Hartlepool
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 27%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
League Two Β· England
Oldham
1 : 3 FT
Scunthorpe
Win 50%
Draw 26%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
League Two Β· England
Tranmere
2 : 0 FT
Barrow
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 36%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 64%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 18%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Standard Liege
0 : 1 FT
Zulte Waregem
Win 35%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 39%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Sharjah FC
3 : 0 FT
Baniyas SC
Win 28%
Draw 32%
Win 40%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ittihad FC
3 : 2 FT
Al-Ettifaq
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Fenerbahçe
2 : 0 FT
Yeni Malatyaspor
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 31%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 17%
Premier League Β· England
Aston Villa
1 : 3 FT
Chelsea
Win 23%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 52%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Union St. Gilloise
0 : 0 FT
Gent
Win 47%
Draw 25%
Win 28%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Premier League Β· England
Brighton
2 : 0 FT
Brentford
Win 29%
Draw 29%
Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 13%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Oostende
0 : 4 FT
Genk
Win 28%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 50%
✓ Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 9%

Showing 33 of 33 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Sunday 26 December 2021?

33 fixtures met the criteria, led by Oostende vs Genk at 67% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.