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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Monday 5 July 2021

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

Eight fixtures cleared the bar on Monday 5 July 2021. The strongest reading belongs to Ilves vs Haka at 55% in the Veikkausliiga. The shortlist runs from 55% down to 34%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans five different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
Forge
3 : 0 FT
Pacific FC
Win 27%
Draw 27%
Win 46%
Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 53%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 13%
Serie A Β· Brazil
Gremio
0 : 1 FT
Atletico Goianiense
Win 37%
Draw 31%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
FC Edmonton
1 : 1 FT
York United
Win 44%
Draw 29%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Ilves
1 : 0 FT
Haka
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 26%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
AC Oulu
1 : 1 FT
Kooteepee
Win 17%
Draw 28%
Win 55%
✓ Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 63%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 18%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
Kristiansund BK
3 : 2 FT
Brann
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 29%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%
Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Djurgardens IF
3 : 0 FT
Orebro SK
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 26%
Win 12%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IFK Goteborg
0 : 1 FT
IF Elfsborg
Win 32%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 37%
BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%

Showing 8 of 8 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Monday 5 July 2021?

eight fixtures met the criteria, led by Ilves vs Haka at 55% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.