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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Sunday 23 May 2021

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

16 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 23 May 2021. The strongest reading belongs to Falkenbergs FF vs Vasalund at 60% in the Superettan. The shortlist runs from 60% down to 20%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Allsvenskan supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Chile
Union Espanola
3 : 2 FT
U. Catolica
✓ Win 37%
Draw 36%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Gwangju FC
3 : 4 FT
Suwon Bluewings
Win 19%
Draw 40%
✓ Win 41%
Under 2.5 80% BTTS No 71% Suwon Bluewings Clean Sheet 57%
Model Score 0–0 · 22%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Gangwon FC
0 : 0 FT
FC Seoul
Win 37%
Draw 35%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Daegu FC
1 : 0 FT
Jeonbuk Motors
Win 26%
Draw 33%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Superettan · Sweden
Gais
0 : 1 FT
Helsingborg
Win 38%
Draw 32%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Superettan · Sweden
Osters IF
1 : 2 FT
IK brage
Win 36%
Draw 35%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 64%
Model Score 0–0 · 17%
Superettan · Sweden
Norrby IF
2 : 1 FT
AFC Eskilstuna
✓ Win 43%
Draw 35%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 80% BTTS No 72% Norrby IF Clean Sheet 55%
Model Score 0–0 · 21%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Halmstad
0 : 0 FT
Degerfors IF
Win 41%
Draw 31%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Kalmar FF
2 : 1 FT
Hammarby FF
Win 33%
Draw 34%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 14%
Superettan · Sweden
Falkenbergs FF
0 : 3 FT
Vasalund
Win 39%
Draw 24%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
BK Hacken
3 : 1 FT
Varbergs BoIS FC
Win 27%
Draw 28%
Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Djurgardens IF
0 : 0 FT
IFK Goteborg
Win 48%
Draw 33%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
Mariehamn
0 : 3 FT
Haka
Win 46%
Draw 28%
Win 26%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
AC Oulu
1 : 2 FT
HIFK Helsinki
Win 18%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 53%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 0–1 · 16%
Primera División · Chile
D. Melipilla
1 : 1 FT
Antofagasta
Win 33%
Draw 33%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 61%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Primera División · Chile
Huachipato
0 : 2 FT
Colo Colo
Win 39%
Draw 29%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Showing 16 of 16 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Sunday 23 May 2021?

16 fixtures met the criteria, led by Falkenbergs FF vs Vasalund at 60% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.