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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Sunday 18 October 2020

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

The model shortlists twelve fixtures on Sunday 18 October 2020. Varbergs BoIS FC vs IFK Norrkoping sits top on 73% in the Allsvenskan. The shortlist runs from 73% down to 28%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Allsvenskan supplies four of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IF Elfsborg
3 : 1 FT
Kalmar FF
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 28%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Hammarby FF
4 : 2 FT
Mjallby AIF
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 30%
Win 32%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Sirius
2 : 3 FT
Ostersunds FK
Win 33%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 37%
✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
1. FC Köln
1 : 1 FT
Eintracht Frankfurt
Win 20%
Draw 24%
Win 56%
Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 1–2 Β· 9%
Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
AIK Stockholm
2 : 0 FT
IFK Goteborg
Win 30%
Draw 37%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 61%
Model Score 0–0 Β· 16%
Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Varbergs BoIS FC
1 : 3 FT
IFK Norrkoping
Win 28%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 49%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 73%
Model Score 1–2 Β· 9%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
FC Schalke 04
1 : 1 FT
Union Berlin
Win 26%
Draw 32%
Win 42%
✓ BTTS Yes 59%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
Kristiansund BK
0 : 0 FT
Rosenborg
Win 39%
Draw 22%
Win 39%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 69%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 9%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
Haugesund
2 : 0 FT
Sarpsborg 08 FF
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 24%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
Stabaek
4 : 0 FT
Aalesund
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 24%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
Stromsgodset
1 : 1 FT
Start
Win 57%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
Sandefjord
0 : 3 FT
Valerenga
Win 31%
Draw 34%
βœ“ Win 35%
Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 62%
Model Score 0–0 Β· 15%

Showing 12 of 12 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Sunday 18 October 2020?

twelve fixtures met the criteria, led by Varbergs BoIS FC vs IFK Norrkoping at 73% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.