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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Sunday 21 March 2027

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 21 March 2027. Sporting CP vs Casa Pia tops the list at 49% in the Primeira Liga. The shortlist runs from 49% down to 35%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Primeira Liga supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Sporting CP
: 16:00
Casa Pia
Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 12%
BTTS No 56%
#2 Süper Lig · Turkey
Kocaelispor
: 12:00
Alanyaspor
Win 47%
Draw 30%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 63%
#3 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Estoril
: 16:00
FC Porto
Win 18%
Draw 25%
Win 56%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 57%
#4 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Vitória SC
: 16:00
GIL Vicente
Win 36%
Draw 34%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 76% BTTS No 68%
#5 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Rayong FC
: 11:30
BG Pathum United
Win 42%
Draw 33%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 63%
#6 Serie A · Italy
Parma
: 17:30
Lazio
Win 24%
Draw 29%
Win 47%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 61%
#7 La Liga · Spain
Atletico Madrid
: 16:00
Getafe
Win 56%
Draw 26%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 55%
#8 Serie A · Italy
AS Roma
: 17:30
Lecce
Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 54%
#9 La Liga · Spain
Villarreal
: 16:00
Malaga
Win 73%
Draw 16%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 55%
#10 Serie A · Italy
Fiorentina
: 17:30
Genoa
Win 29%
Draw 30%
Win 41%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 59%
#11 Süper Lig · Turkey
Kasımpaşa
: 12:00
Eyüpspor
Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 55%
#12 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Alverca
: 16:00
Benfica
Win 14%
Draw 18%
Win 68%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 56%
#13 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Nacional
: 16:00
Arouca
Win 42%
Draw 28%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 55%
#14 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Santa Clara
: 16:00
Maritimo
Win 57%
Draw 23%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 53%
#15 Süper Lig · Turkey
Erzurumspor FK
: 12:00
Gaziantep FK
Win 21%
Draw 23%
Win 56%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 53%
#16 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Rio Ave
: 16:00
Academico Viseu
Win 23%
Draw 24%
Win 53%
#17 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Pattani
: 11:00
Ayutthaya FC
Win 34%
Draw 31%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 57%
#18 La Liga · Spain
Celta Vigo
: 16:00
Real Madrid
Win 26%
Draw 27%
Win 47%
Under 2.5 54%
#19 Serie A · Italy
Atalanta
: 17:30
AC Milan
Win 36%
Draw 30%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 57%
#20 Serie A · Italy
Napoli
: 17:30
Venezia
Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 56%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 21 March 2027?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Sporting CP vs Casa Pia at 49% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.