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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Sunday 3 January 2027

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures clear the bar on Sunday 3 January 2027. The strongest reading belongs to Real Madrid vs Getafe at 59% in the La Liga. The shortlist runs from 59% down to 26%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Serie A supplies five of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 La Liga · Spain
Real Madrid
– : – 16:00
Getafe
Win 82%
Draw 13%
Win 4%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS No 61% Real Madrid Clean Sheet 59%
#2 Serie A · Italy
Como
– : – 17:30
Lecce
Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 58%
#3 Serie A · Italy
Parma
– : – 17:30
Napoli
Win 24%
Draw 27%
Win 49%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 56%
#4 Serie A · Italy
Fiorentina
– : – 17:30
Lazio
Win 13%
Draw 17%
Win 70%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 55%
#5 La Liga · Spain
Malaga
– : – 16:00
Elche
Win 16%
Draw 23%
Win 61%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 54%
#6 Ligue 1 · France
Lille
– : – 16:15
Strasbourg
Win 53%
Draw 27%
Win 20%
#7 Serie A · Italy
Cagliari
– : – 17:30
Genoa
Win 37%
Draw 30%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 59%
#8 Serie A · Italy
Torino
– : – 17:30
Venezia
Win 54%
Draw 24%
Win 22%
#9 La Liga · Spain
Celta Vigo
– : – 16:00
Deportivo La Coruna
Win 46%
Draw 28%
Win 26%
BTTS Yes 54%
#10 Premier League · England
Manchester City
– : – 16:30
Tottenham
Win 42%
Draw 27%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 56%
#11 La Liga · Spain
Real Betis
– : – 16:00
Alaves
Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 61%
#12 Serie A · Italy
Bologna
– : – 17:30
Juventus
Win 32%
Draw 27%
Win 40%
Under 2.5 55%
#13 La Liga · Spain
Espanyol
– : – 16:00
Barcelona
Win 16%
Draw 19%
Win 65%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 64%
#14 Serie A · Italy
Inter
– : – 17:30
Sassuolo
Win 72%
Draw 15%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 65%
#15 Serie A · Italy
Udinese
– : – 17:30
Atalanta
Win 24%
Draw 23%
Win 53%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 59%
#16 La Liga · Spain
Rayo Vallecano
– : – 16:00
Atletico Madrid
Win 27%
Draw 27%
Win 46%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 57%
#17 Ligue 1 · France
Le Mans
– : – 14:00
Lyon
Win 31%
Draw 29%
Win 40%
BTTS Yes 54%
#18 Serie A · Italy
Monza
– : – 17:30
AC Milan
Win 27%
Draw 23%
Win 50%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 62%
#19 Serie A · Italy
AS Roma
– : – 17:30
Frosinone
Win 68%
Draw 16%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 78% BTTS Yes 69%
#20 Premier League · England
Chelsea
– : – 14:00
Newcastle
Win 58%
Draw 20%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 66%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 3 January 2027?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Real Madrid vs Getafe at 59% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.