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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Sunday 3 January 2027

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 3 January 2027. Real Madrid vs Getafe tops the list at 49% in the La Liga. The shortlist runs from 49% down to 25%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Serie A supplies six of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 La Liga · Spain
Real Madrid
: 16:00
Getafe
Win 71%
Draw 18%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS No 54%
#2 Serie A · Italy
Fiorentina
: 17:30
Lazio
Win 22%
Draw 28%
Win 50%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 60%
#3 La Liga · Spain
Real Betis
: 16:00
Alaves
Win 51%
Draw 27%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 57%
#4 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Buriram United
: 11:00
Prachuap
Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 53%
#5 Serie A · Italy
Cagliari
: 17:30
Genoa
Win 37%
Draw 32%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 62%
#6 Serie A · Italy
Parma
: 17:30
Napoli
Win 25%
Draw 27%
Win 48%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 54%
#7 Serie A · Italy
Bologna
: 17:30
Juventus
Win 26%
Draw 28%
Win 46%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 55%
#8 Serie A · Italy
AS Roma
: 17:30
Frosinone
Win 53%
Draw 24%
Win 23%
BTTS Yes 54%
#9 Serie A · Italy
Monza
: 17:30
AC Milan
Win 22%
Draw 23%
Win 55%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 55%
#10 La Liga · Spain
Espanyol
: 16:00
Barcelona
Win 21%
Draw 21%
Win 58%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 59%
#11 La Liga · Spain
Malaga
: 16:00
Elche
Win 36%
Draw 29%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 54%
#12 Thai League 1 · Thailand
BG Pathum United
: 12:00
Ratchaburi
Win 47%
Draw 26%
Win 27%
BTTS Yes 55%
#13 Serie A · Italy
Udinese
: 17:30
Atalanta
Win 36%
Draw 28%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 58%
#14 Serie A · Italy
Torino
: 17:30
Venezia
Win 55%
Draw 22%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 60%
#15 Serie A · Italy
Como
: 17:30
Lecce
Win 38%
Draw 27%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 55%
#16 La Liga · Spain
Levante
: 16:00
Valencia
Win 63%
Draw 19%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 64%
#17 La Liga · Spain
Rayo Vallecano
: 16:00
Atletico Madrid
Win 52%
Draw 22%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 62%
#18 La Liga · Spain
Real Sociedad
: 16:00
Osasuna
Win 53%
Draw 22%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 63%
#19 Serie A · Italy
Inter
: 17:30
Sassuolo
Win 61%
Draw 19%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 66%
#20 La Liga · Spain
Celta Vigo
: 16:00
Deportivo La Coruna
Win 34%
Draw 25%
Win 42%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 60%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 3 January 2027?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Real Madrid vs Getafe at 49% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.