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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Saturday 2 January 2027

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches clear our threshold on Saturday 2 January 2027. Brentford vs Crystal Palace tops the list at 49% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 49% down to 25%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Premier League supplies five of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier League · England
Brentford
– : – 15:00
Crystal Palace
Win 70%
Draw 19%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS No 55%
#2 Premier League · England
Nottingham Forest
– : – 15:00
Fulham
Win 30%
Draw 36%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 79% BTTS No 71%
#3 Premier League · England
Brighton
– : – 12:30
Manchester United
Win 70%
Draw 18%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 56%
#4 Premier League · England
Liverpool
– : – 15:00
Coventry
Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 57%
#5 Ligue 2 · France
Montpellier
– : – 19:00
Guingamp
Win 47%
Draw 29%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 60%
#6 League Two · England
Northampton
– : – 15:00
Bristol Rovers
Win 43%
Draw 34%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 58%
#7 Ligue 2 · France
Dunkerque
– : – 19:00
Boulogne
Win 33%
Draw 34%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 76% BTTS No 68%
#8 League Two · England
Gillingham
– : – 15:00
Exeter City
Win 39%
Draw 35%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 59%
#9 Premier League · England
Sunderland
– : – 15:00
Hull City
Win 37%
Draw 32%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 64%
#10 Ligue 2 · France
Clermont Foot
– : – 19:00
PAU
Win 23%
Draw 27%
Win 50%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 55%
#11 Premier League · England
Bournemouth
– : – 17:30
Aston Villa
Win 47%
Draw 27%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 54%
#12 League One · England
Stockport County
– : – 15:00
Burton Albion
Win 56%
Draw 26%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 54%
#13 Premier League · England
Arsenal
– : – 15:00
Ipswich
Win 72%
Draw 16%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 59%
#14 Ligue 2 · France
Grenoble
– : – 19:00
Sochaux
Win 35%
Draw 31%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 59%
#15 Ligue 1 · France
Monaco
– : – 20:00
Nice
Win 51%
Draw 27%
Win 22%
BTTS Yes 54%
#16 Ligue 1 · France
Toulouse
– : – 20:00
Angers
Win 45%
Draw 29%
Win 26%
#17 Ligue 2 · France
Reims
– : – 19:00
Laval
Win 64%
Draw 19%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 63%
#18 Ligue 2 · France
Annecy
– : – 19:00
Saint Etienne
Win 34%
Draw 26%
Win 40%
BTTS Yes 53%
#19 Ligue 2 · France
Rodez
– : – 19:00
RED Star FC 93
Win 28%
Draw 23%
Win 49%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 62%
#20 Ligue 1 · France
Paris FC
– : – 20:00
Le Havre
Win 58%
Draw 21%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 69%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 2 January 2027?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Brentford vs Crystal Palace at 49% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.