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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Friday 4 September 2026

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Friday 4 September 2026. FC Porto vs Moreirense sits top on 53% in the Primeira Liga. The shortlist runs from 53% down to 32%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Ligue 2 supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the clean sheet market — 25%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
FC Porto
2 : 1 FT
Moreirense
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 21%
Win 12%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 60%
#2 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Sandefjord
1 : 1 FT
Viking
Win 24%
Draw 30%
Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 62%
#3 Ligue 2 Β· France
PAU
1 : 1 FT
Sochaux
Win 31%
βœ“ Draw 39%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 79% BTTS No 68%
#4 Superettan Β· Sweden
IFK Norrkoping
2 : 2 FT
Ljungskile SK
Win 53%
Draw 28%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 53%
#5 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Chornomorets
0 : 0 FT
Livyi Bereh
Win 39%
Draw 33%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#6 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Polessya
5 : 1 FT
Kudrivka
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 30%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 53%
#7 Ligue 2 Β· France
Laval
1 : 2 FT
RED Star FC 93
Win 24%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 44%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 53%
#8 Serie A Β· Italy
Genoa
1 : 4 FT
Como
Win 22%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 52%
Under 2.5 54%
#9 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Abha
0 : 1 FT
Al-Ettifaq
Win 19%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 52%
#10 Ligue 2 Β· France
Grenoble
1 : 2 FT
Annecy
Win 35%
Draw 34%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 56%
#11 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Beerschot VA
4 : 2 FT
Patro Eisden
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#12 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Emmen
5 : 3 FT
FC Volendam
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 20%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#13 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Wasl FC
5 : 2 FT
Khorfakkan
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 22%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#14 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Fredrikstad
1 : 2 FT
Bodo/Glimt
Win 26%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 49%
#15 Superettan Β· Sweden
Osters IF
1 : 2 FT
United Nordic
Win 38%
Draw 31%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 53%
#16 La Liga Β· Spain
Real Betis
1 : 0 FT
Real Madrid
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 28%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
#17 Ligue 2 Β· France
Boulogne
1 : 1 FT
Dijon
Win 37%
Draw 32%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 60%
#18 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Shamrock Rovers
0 : 0 FT
Shelbourne
Win 44%
Draw 32%
Win 24%
BTTS Yes 57%
#19 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Hannover 96
2 : 2 FT
Karlsruher SC
Win 40%
Draw 27%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 56%
#20 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ahli Jeddah
5 : 0 FT
Al Riyadh
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 17%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 77% BTTS Yes 65%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Friday 4 September 2026?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by FC Porto vs Moreirense at 53% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.