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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Thursday 23 April 2026

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Thursday 23 April 2026. The strongest reading belongs to Oviedo vs Villarreal at 44% in the La Liga. The shortlist runs from 44% down to 25%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans six different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the clean sheet market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 La Liga · Spain
Oviedo
1 : 1 FT
Villarreal
Win 28%
Draw 32%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 63%
#2 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Damac
2 : 0 FT
Al Okhdood
✓ Win 50%
Draw 27%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#3 Allsvenskan · Sweden
Kalmar FF
1 : 1 FT
IFK Goteborg
Win 28%
Draw 29%
Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 57%
#4 La Liga · Spain
Rayo Vallecano
1 : 0 FT
Espanyol
✓ Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#5 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al Bataeh
0 : 2 FT
Al Ain
Win 19%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 58%
Over 2.5 53%
#6 Premier League · Russia
Akhmat
1 : 1 FT
Baltika
Win 43%
Draw 29%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 56%
#7 Allsvenskan · Sweden
Degerfors IF
2 : 1 FT
AIK Stockholm
Win 23%
Draw 25%
Win 51%
#8 League Two · England
Salford City
2 : 0 FT
Bromley
✓ Win 40%
Draw 29%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#9 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Casa Pia
0 : 1 FT
SC Braga
Win 27%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 47%
#10 Premier League · Russia
Akron
1 : 1 FT
Dinamo Makhachkala
Win 49%
Draw 25%
Win 26%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#11 Premier League · Ukraine
Zorya Luhansk
1 : 2 FT
Shakhtar Donetsk
Win 37%
Draw 28%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 53%
#12 Eredivisie · Netherlands
GO Ahead Eagles
0 : 0 FT
AZ Alkmaar
Win 63%
Draw 23%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 63%
#13 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Patro Eisden
1 : 1 FT
Beerschot VA
Win 29%
Draw 26%
Win 46%
#14 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Najma
1 : 2 FT
Al Taawon
Win 18%
Draw 19%
✓ Win 62%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#15 Allsvenskan · Sweden
Gais
0 : 0 FT
Mjallby AIF
Win 38%
Draw 27%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#16 Premier League · Russia
Spartak Moscow
1 : 2 FT
FC Krasnodar
Win 41%
Draw 26%
Win 33%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#17 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Lommel United
3 : 0 FT
Liège
✓ Win 37%
Draw 26%
Win 37%
#18 La Liga · Spain
Levante
2 : 0 FT
Sevilla
✓ Win 44%
Draw 25%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%
#19 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Ittihad Kalba
1 : 2 FT
Baniyas SC
Win 34%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 40%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#20 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
St. Truiden
2 : 0 FT
Anderlecht
✓ Win 46%
Draw 23%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 62%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Thursday 23 April 2026?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Oviedo vs Villarreal at 44% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.