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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Saturday 15 November 2025

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 15 November 2025. The strongest reading belongs to Gillingham vs Crawley Town at 50% in the League Two. The shortlist runs from 50% down to 20%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

League Two supplies five of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the clean sheet market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League Two · England
Gillingham
2 : 2 FT
Crawley Town
Win 58%
Draw 25%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 61%
#2 League One · England
Lincoln
2 : 1 FT
Doncaster
✓ Win 67%
Draw 21%
Win 13%
BTTS No 57%
#3 League One · England
Leyton Orient
2 : 1 FT
Exeter City
✓ Win 50%
Draw 28%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 59%
#4 League One · England
Port Vale
0 : 0 FT
Wycombe
Win 24%
Draw 29%
Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#5 League Two · England
Accrington ST
3 : 1 FT
Bristol Rovers
✓ Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
#6 League One · England
Luton
0 : 0 FT
Rotherham
Win 29%
Draw 31%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#7 Serie A · Brazil
Sport Recife
1 : 5 FT
Flamengo
Win 15%
Draw 20%
✓ Win 65%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#8 League Two · England
Tranmere
3 : 2 FT
Cheltenham
✓ Win 50%
Draw 26%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 54%
#9 League Two · England
Notts County
1 : 1 FT
Harrogate Town
Win 64%
Draw 20%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#10 League Two · England
Shrewsbury
1 : 0 FT
Newport County
Win 29%
Draw 28%
Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#11 League Two · England
Oldham
0 : 0 FT
Crewe
Win 30%
Draw 28%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#12 League One · England
Burton Albion
1 : 0 FT
Blackpool
✓ Win 36%
Draw 30%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#13 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC Eindhoven
3 : 3 FT
Cambuur
Win 17%
Draw 20%
Win 63%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#14 League Two · England
Walsall
0 : 2 FT
Colchester
Win 42%
Draw 27%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#15 League Two · England
Bromley
2 : 1 FT
Barrow
✓ Win 43%
Draw 26%
Win 31%
#16 League Two · England
Grimsby
0 : 1 FT
Chesterfield
Win 58%
Draw 20%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 62%
#17 League Two · England
Cambridge United
0 : 0 FT
Barnet
Win 39%
Draw 27%
Win 35%
#18 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Willem II
1 : 1 FT
Emmen
Win 37%
Draw 26%
Win 37%
#19 League Two · England
Milton Keynes Dons
2 : 0 FT
Salford City
✓ Win 43%
Draw 24%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 59%
#20 League Two · England
Fleetwood Town
1 : 1 FT
Swindon Town
Win 45%
Draw 22%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 15 November 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Gillingham vs Crawley Town at 50% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.