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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Saturday 16 August 2025

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 16 August 2025. Chengdu Better City vs Qingdao Jonoon led the list at 60% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 60% down to 40%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the clean sheet market — 30%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League Β· China
Chengdu Better City
0 : 0 FT
Qingdao Jonoon
Win 77%
Draw 17%
Win 6%
Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS No 63% ✓ Chengdu Better City Clean Sheet 60%
#2 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
1 : 4 FT
Dynamo Kyiv
Win 13%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 63%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 62% Dynamo Kyiv Clean Sheet 54%
#3 League One Β· England
Lincoln
3 : 2 FT
Plymouth
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 23%
Win 13%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 59%
#4 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Oleksandria
1 : 4 FT
FC Kharkiv
Win 60%
Draw 25%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 61%
#5 League Two Β· England
Crewe
1 : 0 FT
Crawley Town
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 24%
Win 14%
✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#6 Serie A Β· Brazil
Vitoria
2 : 2 FT
Juventude
Win 70%
Draw 18%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS No 54%
#7 Superettan Β· Sweden
Umeå FC
0 : 1 FT
Kalmar FF
Win 18%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 54%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#8 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
GKS Katowice
4 : 1 FT
Arka Gdynia
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 28%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 59%
#9 Serie A Β· Brazil
Sport Recife
2 : 2 FT
Sao Paulo
Win 24%
Draw 29%
Win 47%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 60%
#10 League Two Β· England
Barnet
1 : 2 FT
Walsall
Win 25%
Draw 32%
βœ“ Win 43%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 60%
#11 League One Β· England
Reading
1 : 2 FT
AFC Wimbledon
Win 47%
Draw 30%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 58%
#12 Super League Β· China
Tianjin Teda
2 : 0 FT
Dalian Zhixing
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 29%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#13 League Two Β· England
Chesterfield
3 : 1 FT
Bristol Rovers
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 16%
#14 Primera División Β· Chile
O'Higgins
1 : 0 FT
Cobresal
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 31%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#15 League Two Β· England
Tranmere
1 : 1 FT
Gillingham
Win 50%
Draw 28%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 54%
#16 Serie A Β· Brazil
Fluminense
2 : 1 FT
Fortaleza EC
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 27%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 55%
#17 La Liga Β· Spain
Alaves
2 : 1 FT
Levante
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 28%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 57%
#18 Championship Β· England
Portsmouth
1 : 2 FT
Norwich
Win 49%
Draw 27%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 55%
#19 Championship Β· England
Derby
3 : 5 FT
Coventry
Win 44%
Draw 29%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 57%
#20 League Two Β· England
Milton Keynes Dons
5 : 0 FT
Cheltenham
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 33%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 59%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 16 August 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Chengdu Better City vs Qingdao Jonoon at 60% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.