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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Saturday 4 January 2025

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 4 January 2025. The strongest reading belongs to Stoke City vs Plymouth at 54% in the Championship. The shortlist runs from 54% down to 39%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Championship supplies five of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the clean sheet market — 60%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Championship · England
Stoke City
0 : 0 FT
Plymouth
Win 72%
Draw 19%
Win 8%
✓ BTTS No 59% ✓ Stoke City Clean Sheet 54%
#2 Premier League · England
Bournemouth
1 : 0 FT
Everton
✓ Win 51%
Draw 34%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 64% ✓ Bournemouth Clean Sheet 54%
#3 League One · England
Lincoln
0 : 0 FT
Stevenage
Win 44%
Draw 34%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS No 70%
#4 Championship · England
Preston
1 : 1 FT
Oxford United
Win 62%
Draw 25%
Win 13%
✓ Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 60%
#5 Championship · England
Blackburn
0 : 1 FT
Burnley
Win 23%
Draw 37%
✓ Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS No 69%
#6 League One · England
Huddersfield
0 : 0 FT
Rotherham
Win 50%
Draw 29%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#7 Championship · England
Hull City
3 : 3 FT
Leeds
Win 22%
Draw 33%
Win 46%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 62%
#8 Championship · England
Bristol City
1 : 0 FT
Derby
✓ Win 59%
Draw 26%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#9 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Moreirense
1 : 1 FT
AVS
Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 59%
#10 Ligue 2 · France
Metz
0 : 0 FT
PAU
Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#11 League One · England
Leyton Orient
1 : 0 FT
Shrewsbury
✓ Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
#12 League Two · England
Doncaster
1 : 2 FT
Port Vale
Win 47%
Draw 31%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 57%
#13 League Two · England
Notts County
2 : 0 FT
Swindon Town
✓ Win 53%
Draw 28%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#14 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Benfica
1 : 2 FT
SC Braga
Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
#15 Championship · England
Sheffield Wednesday
2 : 2 FT
Millwall
Win 39%
Draw 33%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 58%
#16 League Two · England
Barrow
0 : 2 FT
Harrogate Town
Win 49%
Draw 29%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#17 Ligue 1 · France
Lyon
1 : 0 FT
Montpellier
✓ Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 55%
#18 Ligue 1 · France
Saint Etienne
3 : 1 FT
Reims
Win 27%
Draw 33%
Win 41%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 56%
#19 League One · England
Wycombe
1 : 1 FT
Blackpool
Win 47%
Draw 28%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 55%
#20 League One · England
Wigan
0 : 3 FT
Birmingham
Win 29%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 42%
Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 57%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 4 January 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Stoke City vs Plymouth at 54% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.