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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Wednesday 1 January 2025

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Wednesday 1 January 2025. Millwall vs Oxford United sits top on 58% in the Championship. The shortlist runs from 58% down to 32%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Championship supplies four of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the clean sheet market — 35%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Championship Β· England
Millwall
0 : 1 FT
Oxford United
Win 62%
Draw 26%
Win 12%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 65% Millwall Clean Sheet 58%
#2 Championship Β· England
Burnley
0 : 0 FT
Stoke City
Win 48%
Draw 34%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS No 70% ✓ Burnley Clean Sheet 57%
#3 Championship Β· England
Leeds
1 : 1 FT
Blackburn
Win 59%
Draw 27%
Win 14%
✓ Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 64% Leeds Clean Sheet 55%
#4 League One Β· England
Lincoln
0 : 1 FT
Rotherham
Win 59%
Draw 26%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#5 League Two Β· England
Crewe
3 : 2 FT
Carlisle
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 31%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 63%
#6 Championship Β· England
West Brom
3 : 1 FT
Preston
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 30%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 61%
#7 League One Β· England
Wycombe
2 : 1 FT
Exeter City
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 29%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 61%
#8 League One Β· England
Bristol Rovers
2 : 3 FT
Leyton Orient
Win 23%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 48%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 58%
#9 League Two Β· England
Barrow
2 : 2 FT
Bradford
Win 48%
Draw 30%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 54%
#10 League Two Β· England
Notts County
1 : 2 FT
Walsall
Win 30%
Draw 35%
βœ“ Win 36%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 61%
#11 League Two Β· England
Harrogate Town
0 : 2 FT
Salford City
Win 22%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 49%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#12 League One Β· England
Northampton
0 : 0 FT
Stevenage
Win 34%
Draw 33%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#13 Championship Β· England
Sheffield Wednesday
4 : 2 FT
Derby
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 29%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 58%
#14 Championship Β· England
Portsmouth
4 : 0 FT
Swansea
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 31%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#15 Championship Β· England
Luton
0 : 1 FT
Norwich
Win 49%
Draw 27%
Win 24%
#16 Championship Β· England
Sunderland
2 : 1 FT
Sheffield Utd
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 31%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 54%
#17 League One Β· England
Barnsley
2 : 1 FT
Wrexham
Win 33%
Draw 29%
Win 38%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 53%
#18 League Two Β· England
Accrington ST
3 : 2 FT
Grimsby
Win 28%
Draw 29%
Win 43%
Under 2.5 54%
#19 League One Β· England
Blackpool
1 : 1 FT
Shrewsbury
Win 53%
Draw 24%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#20 League Two Β· England
Swindon Town
3 : 2 FT
Colchester
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 29%
Win 29%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Wednesday 1 January 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Millwall vs Oxford United at 58% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.