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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Saturday 23 March 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 23 March 2024. Stockport County vs Milton Keynes Dons sits top on 46% in the League Two. The shortlist runs from 46% down to 16%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

League Two supplies five of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the clean sheet market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League Two Β· England
Stockport County
5 : 0 FT
Milton Keynes Dons
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 26%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#2 League One Β· England
Northampton
1 : 0 FT
Derby
Win 20%
Draw 26%
Win 55%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#3 League One Β· England
Burton Albion
0 : 1 FT
Port Vale
Win 44%
Draw 30%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#4 League Two Β· England
Crewe
1 : 1 FT
AFC Wimbledon
Win 41%
Draw 32%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 59%
#5 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Willem II
2 : 0 FT
VVV Venlo
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 54%
#6 Premier League Β· Ukraine
LNZ Cherkasy
1 : 2 FT
Minai
Win 38%
Draw 31%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 60%
#7 League Two Β· England
Mansfield Town
1 : 1 FT
Colchester
Win 67%
Draw 19%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#8 League One Β· England
Carlisle
2 : 2 FT
Stevenage
Win 19%
Draw 22%
Win 59%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
#9 League Two Β· England
Barrow
1 : 0 FT
Newport County
βœ“ Win 37%
Draw 32%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#10 League Two Β· England
Tranmere
1 : 3 FT
Crawley Town
Win 50%
Draw 27%
Win 23%
#11 League Two Β· England
Harrogate Town
3 : 0 FT
Bradford
Win 21%
Draw 25%
Win 54%
#12 League Two Β· England
Morecambe
2 : 3 FT
Gillingham
Win 34%
Draw 31%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 56%
#13 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
MVV
1 : 0 FT
Den Bosch
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 25%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 60%
#14 League Two Β· England
Doncaster
2 : 0 FT
Forest Green
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 26%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%
#15 League Two Β· England
Sutton Utd
3 : 1 FT
Accrington ST
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 27%
Win 31%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#16 Primera División Β· Chile
Everton de Vina
0 : 0 FT
Palestino
Win 34%
Draw 26%
Win 40%
BTTS Yes 54%
#17 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Roda
3 : 1 FT
NAC Breda
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 26%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#18 League Two Β· England
Grimsby
1 : 3 FT
Wrexham
Win 32%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#19 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Cambuur
1 : 0 FT
Telstar
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 23%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 71%
#20 League Two Β· England
Notts County
1 : 2 FT
Salford City
Win 44%
Draw 22%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 74%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 23 March 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Stockport County vs Milton Keynes Dons at 46% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.