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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Friday 23 February 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 23 February 2024. Bayer Leverkusen vs FSV Mainz 05 led the list at 56% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 56% down to 32%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the clean sheet market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Bundesliga · Germany
Bayer Leverkusen
2 : 1 FT
FSV Mainz 05
✓ Win 70%
Draw 21%
Win 9%
BTTS No 60% Bayer Leverkusen Clean Sheet 56%
#2 Serie A · Italy
Bologna
2 : 0 FT
Hellas Verona
✓ Win 64%
Draw 25%
Win 11%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 60% ✓ Bologna Clean Sheet 53%
#3 Süper Lig · Turkey
Samsunspor
3 : 0 FT
Rizespor
✓ Win 61%
Draw 27%
Win 12%
Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#4 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
De Graafschap
2 : 0 FT
Den Bosch
✓ Win 58%
Draw 26%
Win 16%
#5 League One · England
Wigan
1 : 1 FT
Cheltenham
Win 42%
Draw 31%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 61%
#6 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Willem II
2 : 3 FT
Roda
Win 50%
Draw 30%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 54%
#7 Premier Division · Ireland
Dundalk
0 : 2 FT
Galway United
Win 57%
Draw 27%
Win 16%
#8 Premier League · Ukraine
LNZ Cherkasy
0 : 3 FT
Kryvbas KR
Win 21%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 49%
Under 2.5 55%
#9 Ligue 1 · France
Metz
1 : 2 FT
Lyon
Win 25%
Draw 33%
✓ Win 41%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 53%
#10 Premier Division · Ireland
Drogheda United
1 : 4 FT
Waterford
Win 50%
Draw 30%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 53%
#11 Premier Division · Ireland
St Patrick's Athl.
0 : 1 FT
Bohemians
Win 44%
Draw 32%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#12 Championship · England
Coventry
0 : 3 FT
Preston
Win 51%
Draw 25%
Win 24%
#13 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Piast Gliwice
0 : 0 FT
Cracovia Krakow
Win 41%
Draw 31%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#14 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Taawon
3 : 1 FT
Al Okhdood
✓ Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
#15 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Arouca
3 : 2 FT
Famalicao
✓ Win 50%
Draw 25%
Win 24%
#16 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Riyadh
1 : 1 FT
Al-Raed
Win 29%
Draw 28%
Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#17 Premier Division · Ireland
Shelbourne
2 : 1 FT
Shamrock Rovers
✓ Win 37%
Draw 34%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 61%
#18 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Groningen
0 : 0 FT
Helmond Sport
Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 60%
#19 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Pogon Szczecin
4 : 2 FT
ŁKS Łódź
✓ Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#20 La Liga · Spain
Real Sociedad
1 : 3 FT
Villarreal
Win 45%
Draw 30%
Win 25%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Friday 23 February 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Bayer Leverkusen vs FSV Mainz 05 at 56% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.