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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Saturday 30 December 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

19 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 30 December 2023. Aston Villa vs Burnley led the list at 48% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 48% down to 22%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Premier League supplies four of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 19 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the clean sheet market — 63%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier League Β· England
Aston Villa
3 : 2 FT
Burnley
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 21%
Win 14%
BTTS No 56%
#2 Premier League Β· England
Manchester City
2 : 0 FT
Sheffield Utd
βœ“ Win 83%
Draw 11%
Win 6%
Over 2.5 72%
#3 Serie A Β· Italy
Juventus
1 : 0 FT
AS Roma
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 27%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#4 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Fateh
0 : 0 FT
Al Okhdood
Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#5 Premier League Β· England
Nottingham Forest
2 : 1 FT
Manchester United
Win 27%
Draw 29%
Win 43%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 58%
#6 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Shabab
1 : 0 FT
Al Wehda Club
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
#7 Serie A Β· Italy
Atalanta
1 : 0 FT
Lecce
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 55%
#8 Serie A Β· Italy
AC Milan
1 : 0 FT
Sassuolo
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 57%
#9 Premier League Β· England
Crystal Palace
3 : 1 FT
Brentford
Win 34%
Draw 30%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 58%
#10 Serie A Β· Italy
Hellas Verona
0 : 1 FT
Salernitana
Win 55%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 55%
#11 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Casa Pia
1 : 3 FT
SC Braga
Win 28%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 47%
#12 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Estoril
4 : 0 FT
Farense
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 21%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 59%
#13 Serie A Β· Italy
Udinese
3 : 0 FT
Bologna
Win 31%
Draw 28%
Win 41%
BTTS Yes 55%
#14 Premier League Β· England
Wolves
3 : 0 FT
Everton
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 27%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 54%
#15 Serie A Β· Italy
Cagliari
0 : 0 FT
Empoli
Win 41%
Draw 28%
Win 32%
BTTS Yes 55%
#16 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
GIL Vicente
1 : 0 FT
Boavista
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 20%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 65%
#17 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Portimonense
1 : 2 FT
Sporting CP
Win 30%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 47%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#18 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Taawon
1 : 4 FT
Al-Nassr
Win 26%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 52%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#19 Premier League Β· England
Luton
2 : 3 FT
Chelsea
Win 38%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%

Showing top 19 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 30 December 2023?

19 fixtures met the criteria, led by Aston Villa vs Burnley at 48% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.