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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Sunday 3 September 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 3 September 2023. The strongest reading belongs to Aris Thessalonikis vs Asteras Tripolis at 52% in the Super League 1. The shortlist runs from 52% down to 43%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the clean sheet market — 40%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Aris Thessalonikis
3 : 2 FT
Asteras Tripolis
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 26%
Win 9%
BTTS No 56%
#2 Serie A Β· Brazil
Fluminense
1 : 0 FT
Fortaleza EC
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 30%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#3 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Olympiakos Piraeus
4 : 0 FT
Lamia
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 22%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#4 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Mariehamn
1 : 2 FT
VPS
Win 18%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 52%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 63%
#5 Serie A Β· Brazil
Cruzeiro
0 : 0 FT
RB Bragantino
Win 24%
Draw 37%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS No 67%
#6 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Raków Częstochowa
2 : 0 FT
Puszcza Niepołomice
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 17%
Win 8%
Over 2.5 61%
#7 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Legia Warszawa
3 : 1 FT
Widzew Łódź
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 24%
Win 12%
BTTS No 55%
#8 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Malmo FF
2 : 2 FT
IFK Goteborg
Win 68%
Draw 20%
Win 12%
BTTS No 55%
#9 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Slavia Praha
5 : 1 FT
Karviná
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 17%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 58% BTTS No 53%
#10 Bundesliga Β· Austria
Austria Vienna
2 : 2 FT
Austria Klagenfurt
Win 15%
Draw 33%
Win 52%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 55%
#11 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Ruh Lviv
1 : 1 FT
FC Kharkiv
Win 51%
Draw 28%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 60%
#12 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Zaglebie Lubin
1 : 0 FT
Pogon Szczecin
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 36%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#13 La Liga Β· Spain
Girona
1 : 0 FT
Las Palmas
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
✓ BTTS No 53%
#14 Super League 1 Β· Greece
PAS Giannina
0 : 1 FT
Panathinaikos
Win 51%
Draw 31%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#15 Premier League Β· Russia
Lokomotiv
3 : 2 FT
Baltika
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 24%
Win 14%
#16 Serie A Β· Brazil
Gremio
2 : 0 FT
Cuiaba
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 27%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#17 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Lahti
3 : 2 FT
Ilves
Win 25%
Draw 32%
Win 43%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 60%
#18 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Hatayspor
3 : 3 FT
Adana Demirspor
Win 17%
Draw 33%
Win 51%
Under 2.5 57%
#19 Serie B Β· Italy
Cremonese
1 : 1 FT
Sampdoria
Win 28%
Draw 35%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 62%
#20 Serie B Β· Italy
Lecco
3 : 4 FT
Catanzaro
Win 39%
Draw 34%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 61%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 3 September 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Aris Thessalonikis vs Asteras Tripolis at 52% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.