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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Friday 1 September 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 1 September 2023. Daegu FC vs Gangwon FC led the list at 50% in the K League 1. The shortlist runs from 50% down to 31%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the clean sheet market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 K League 1 · South-Korea
Daegu FC
1 : 0 FT
Gangwon FC
✓ Win 40%
Draw 35%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS No 69%
#2 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Ruch Chorzów
1 : 1 FT
Stal Mielec
Win 42%
Draw 33%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 65%
#3 Super League 1 · Greece
Kifisia
2 : 1 FT
Atromitos
✓ Win 56%
Draw 29%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 55%
#4 Bundesliga · Germany
Borussia Dortmund
2 : 2 FT
1. FC Heidenheim
Win 76%
Draw 16%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 66%
#5 Süper Lig · Turkey
Rizespor
1 : 0 FT
Fatih Karagümrük
Win 17%
Draw 33%
Win 50%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
#6 Premier Division · Ireland
Drogheda United
3 : 0 FT
UCD
✓ Win 67%
Draw 19%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 58%
#7 Premier Division · Ireland
Shamrock Rovers
3 : 0 FT
Bohemians
✓ Win 49%
Draw 27%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#8 Primera División · Chile
Union Espanola
2 : 2 FT
U. Catolica
Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#9 2. Bundesliga · Germany
Eintracht Braunschweig
1 : 1 FT
FC St. Pauli
Win 28%
Draw 29%
Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 57%
#10 Serie A · Italy
Sassuolo
3 : 1 FT
Hellas Verona
Win 30%
Draw 29%
Win 41%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 57%
#11 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Zulte Waregem
1 : 1 FT
Dender
Win 20%
Draw 22%
Win 58%
Over 2.5 54%
#12 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Fayha
0 : 0 FT
Al-Raed
Win 43%
Draw 29%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#13 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Riyadh
0 : 1 FT
Al Okhdood
Win 31%
Draw 31%
✓ Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#14 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC OSS
0 : 2 FT
Groningen
Win 62%
Draw 20%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 56%
#15 La Liga · Spain
Cadiz
3 : 1 FT
Villarreal
Win 34%
Draw 31%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 57%
#16 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Taee
1 : 0 FT
Abha
✓ Win 38%
Draw 30%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#17 Ekstraklasa · Poland
ŁKS Łódź
0 : 2 FT
Warta Poznań
Win 48%
Draw 26%
Win 26%
#18 Premier League · Ukraine
Veres Rivne
3 : 1 FT
Chornomorets
Win 30%
Draw 27%
Win 43%
Under 2.5 55%
#19 Premier Division · Ireland
Cork City
3 : 0 FT
Sligo Rovers
Win 35%
Draw 28%
Win 37%
Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#20 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ittihad FC
3 : 4 FT
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Win 33%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 38%
Under 2.5 56%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Friday 1 September 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Daegu FC vs Gangwon FC at 50% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.