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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Sunday 19 March 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 19 March 2023. The strongest reading belongs to Police Tero vs Lampang FC at 54% in the Thai League 1. The shortlist runs from 54% down to 41%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Serie A supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the clean sheet market — 60%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Police Tero
1 : 1 FT
Lampang FC
Win 58%
Draw 28%
Win 14%
✓ Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 64% Police Tero Clean Sheet 54%
#2 Serie A Β· Italy
Sampdoria
3 : 1 FT
Hellas Verona
Win 26%
Draw 38%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 83% BTTS No 74% Hellas Verona Clean Sheet 53%
#3 Serie A Β· Italy
Torino
0 : 4 FT
Napoli
Win 18%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 53%
Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#4 Bundesliga Β· Austria
Red Bull Salzburg
1 : 1 FT
SCR Altach
Win 77%
Draw 15%
Win 8%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS No 57%
#5 La Liga Β· Spain
Barcelona
2 : 1 FT
Real Madrid
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 32%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 66%
#6 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Antwerp
0 : 1 FT
Charleroi
Win 61%
Draw 24%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#7 La Liga Β· Spain
Real Sociedad
2 : 0 FT
Elche
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 27%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#8 Serie A Β· Italy
Inter
0 : 1 FT
Juventus
Win 52%
Draw 28%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#9 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Volos NFC
0 : 3 FT
Olympiakos Piraeus
Win 10%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 66%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#10 Ligue 1 Β· France
Ajaccio
0 : 2 FT
Monaco
Win 14%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 62%
#11 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Union St. Gilloise
2 : 1 FT
KV Mechelen
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 17%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 61%
#12 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Casa Pia
2 : 0 FT
Maritimo
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 27%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#13 La Liga Β· Spain
Real Betis
1 : 0 FT
Mallorca
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 26%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#14 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Warta Poznań
2 : 0 FT
Lechia Gdansk
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 26%
Win 17%
#15 Super League Β· Switzerland
BSC Young Boys
3 : 0 FT
FC Basel 1893
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 25%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#16 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Miedz Legnica
0 : 1 FT
Piast Gliwice
Win 22%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 48%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#17 Primera División Β· Chile
Universidad de Chile
0 : 0 FT
Deportes Copiapo
Win 57%
Draw 27%
Win 17%
#18 Ligue 1 Β· France
Nice
1 : 1 FT
Lorient
Win 55%
Draw 27%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#19 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Chonburi FC
1 : 2 FT
Ratchaburi
Win 43%
Draw 31%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 58%
#20 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Hansa Rostock
2 : 5 FT
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Win 27%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 43%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 59%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 19 March 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Police Tero vs Lampang FC at 54% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.