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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Saturday 18 March 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 18 March 2023. Lens vs Angers sits top on 58% in the Ligue 1. The shortlist runs from 58% down to 45%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

League Two supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the clean sheet market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ligue 1 Β· France
Lens
3 : 0 FT
Angers
βœ“ Win 76%
Draw 17%
Win 6%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 61% ✓ Lens Clean Sheet 58%
#2 League Two Β· England
Leyton Orient
2 : 2 FT
Colchester
Win 49%
Draw 33%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 75% BTTS No 69% Leyton Orient Clean Sheet 56%
#3 La Liga Β· Spain
Atletico Madrid
3 : 0 FT
Valencia
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 23%
Win 13%
Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 64% ✓ Atletico Madrid Clean Sheet 56%
#4 Premier League Β· England
Chelsea
2 : 2 FT
Everton
Win 53%
Draw 30%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 68% Chelsea Clean Sheet 55%
#5 League Two Β· England
Walsall
2 : 0 FT
Gillingham
Win 37%
Draw 39%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 83% ✓ BTTS No 74% ✓ Walsall Clean Sheet 55%
#6 League Two Β· England
Northampton
1 : 0 FT
Crewe
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 35%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS No 70% ✓ Northampton Clean Sheet 54%
#7 League One Β· England
Plymouth
2 : 0 FT
Forest Green
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 17%
Win 8%
Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#8 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Atromitos
2 : 0 FT
Ionikos
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 36%
Win 14%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#9 Ligue 2 Β· France
Caen
2 : 1 FT
Valenciennes
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 28%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 61%
#10 Serie B Β· Italy
Frosinone
0 : 1 FT
Cosenza
Win 83%
Draw 12%
Win 5%
Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#11 Bundesliga Β· Germany
FC Augsburg
1 : 1 FT
FC Schalke 04
Win 41%
Draw 39%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 64%
#12 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Adana Demirspor
2 : 0 FT
Antalyaspor
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 13%
✓ BTTS No 57%
#13 Ligue 2 Β· France
Le Havre
2 : 2 FT
Saint Etienne
Win 53%
Draw 30%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 60%
#14 Ligue 2 Β· France
Dijon
0 : 1 FT
PAU
Win 41%
Draw 36%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#15 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Raków Częstochowa
4 : 1 FT
Cracovia Krakow
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 24%
Win 13%
BTTS No 55%
#16 League One Β· England
Ipswich
2 : 0 FT
Shrewsbury
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 25%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#17 Championship Β· England
Watford
1 : 1 FT
Wigan
Win 55%
Draw 27%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 58%
#18 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Buriram United
4 : 1 FT
Khon Kaen United
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 22%
Win 13%
BTTS No 53%
#19 Super League 1 Β· Greece
OFI
1 : 1 FT
Levadiakos
Win 37%
βœ“ Draw 40%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 60%
#20 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Beşiktaş
3 : 1 FT
İstanbulspor
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 21%
Win 14%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 18 March 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Lens vs Angers at 58% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.