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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Sunday 5 March 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 5 March 2023. Barcelona vs Valencia led the list at 64% in the La Liga. The shortlist runs from 64% down to 42%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Super League 1 supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 14 landed the clean sheet market — 70%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 La Liga Β· Spain
Barcelona
1 : 0 FT
Valencia
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 24%
Win 10%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 71% ✓ Barcelona Clean Sheet 64%
#2 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Olympiakos Piraeus
6 : 0 FT
Levadiakos
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 21%
Win 5%
✓ BTTS No 63% ✓ Olympiakos Piraeus Clean Sheet 61%
#3 Super League 1 Β· Greece
PAOK
6 : 0 FT
Ionikos
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 35%
Win 12%
Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 66% ✓ PAOK Clean Sheet 59%
#4 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Buriram United
2 : 0 FT
Lamphun Warrior
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 23%
Win 10%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 64% ✓ Buriram United Clean Sheet 58%
#5 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
SC Braga
2 : 0 FT
Rio Ave
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 22%
Win 11%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 65% ✓ SC Braga Clean Sheet 58%
#6 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Antwerp
5 : 0 FT
KV Mechelen
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 23%
Win 10%
Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 59% ✓ Antwerp Clean Sheet 53%
#7 Premier League Β· England
Nottingham Forest
2 : 2 FT
Everton
Win 57%
Draw 27%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 64% Nottingham Forest Clean Sheet 53%
#8 Ligue 1 Β· France
Reims
1 : 0 FT
Ajaccio
βœ“ Win 81%
Draw 14%
Win 5%
Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#9 Super League 1 Β· Greece
OFI
0 : 3 FT
AEK Athens FC
Win 16%
Draw 36%
βœ“ Win 48%
Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#10 Serie A Β· Italy
Inter
2 : 0 FT
Lecce
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 26%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#11 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Cracovia Krakow
1 : 1 FT
Slask Wroclaw
Win 46%
Draw 31%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 64%
#12 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Adana Demirspor
3 : 0 FT
Hatayspor
βœ“ Win 78%
Draw 14%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 67%
#13 Serie A Β· Italy
AS Roma
1 : 0 FT
Juventus
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 31%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#14 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Lamia
2 : 1 FT
Aris Thessalonikis
Win 15%
Draw 32%
Win 53%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 53%
#15 Serie B Β· Italy
Brescia
1 : 1 FT
Cagliari
Win 32%
βœ“ Draw 37%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 78% BTTS No 68%
#16 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Ajax
1 : 0 FT
NEC Nijmegen
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 27%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#17 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Beşiktaş
2 : 1 FT
Ankaragücü
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 56%
#18 Serie B Β· Italy
Ternana
2 : 2 FT
Benevento
Win 32%
βœ“ Draw 37%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 76% BTTS No 66%
#19 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Hansa Rostock
0 : 2 FT
Karlsruher SC
Win 24%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 48%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#20 Serie B Β· Italy
Frosinone
3 : 0 FT
Venezia
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 54%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 5 March 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Barcelona vs Valencia at 64% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.