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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Monday 23 January 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 14 fixtures on Monday 23 January 2023. Inter vs Empoli led the list at 49% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 49% down to 21%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 14 fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the clean sheet market — 36%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A Β· Italy
Inter
0 : 1 FT
Empoli
Win 65%
Draw 22%
Win 13%
✓ BTTS No 56%
#2 La Liga Β· Spain
Valencia
2 : 2 FT
Almeria
Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 55%
#3 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong AZ
1 : 1 FT
Helmond Sport
Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
BTTS No 54%
#4 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Dhafra
2 : 1 FT
Dibba Al-Fujairah
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 29%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 59%
#5 Serie A Β· Italy
Bologna
1 : 1 FT
Cremonese
Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
#6 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Ümraniyespor
1 : 2 FT
Fenerbahçe
Win 12%
Draw 18%
βœ“ Win 71%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#7 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Boavista
1 : 1 FT
Chaves
Win 47%
Draw 26%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#8 Primera División Β· Chile
Curico Unido
1 : 0 FT
Coquimbo Unido
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 26%
Win 29%
BTTS Yes 54%
#9 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Konyaspor
0 : 1 FT
Ankaragücü
Win 42%
Draw 28%
Win 30%
BTTS Yes 53%
#10 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Baniyas SC
0 : 1 FT
Al Wahda FC
Win 28%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 47%
BTTS Yes 55%
#11 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Ajman
1 : 3 FT
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
Win 30%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 45%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#12 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong Ajax
1 : 2 FT
Roda
Win 48%
Draw 24%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#13 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong PSV U21
1 : 2 FT
VVV Venlo
Win 38%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#14 Premier League Β· England
Fulham
0 : 1 FT
Tottenham
Win 29%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 48%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 70%

Showing top 14 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Monday 23 January 2023?

14 fixtures met the criteria, led by Inter vs Empoli at 49% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.