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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Friday 20 January 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Friday 20 January 2023. Mallorca vs Celta Vigo led the list at 48% in the La Liga. The shortlist runs from 48% down to 18%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the clean sheet market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 La Liga · Spain
Mallorca
1 : 0 FT
Celta Vigo
✓ Win 45%
Draw 32%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#2 Ligue 2 · France
Sochaux
1 : 2 FT
Caen
Win 55%
Draw 27%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 59%
#3 Serie B · Italy
Palermo
1 : 0 FT
Bari
Win 26%
Draw 34%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#4 Süper Lig · Turkey
Adana Demirspor
1 : 1 FT
Giresunspor
Win 72%
Draw 17%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 65%
#5 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Sporting CP
2 : 1 FT
Vizela
✓ Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#6 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Arouca
4 : 0 FT
Portimonense
✓ Win 44%
Draw 29%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#7 Championship · England
Burnley
2 : 1 FT
West Brom
✓ Win 49%
Draw 26%
Win 26%
#8 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Khaleej Saihat
3 : 0 FT
Al-Raed
Win 26%
Draw 27%
Win 47%
#9 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Damac
3 : 1 FT
Al-Fateh
✓ Win 36%
Draw 30%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 53%
#10 Primera División · Chile
Magallanes
0 : 1 FT
O'Higgins
Win 37%
Draw 29%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#11 Super League 1 · Greece
Panetolikos
1 : 1 FT
PAS Giannina
Win 29%
Draw 33%
Win 38%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#12 Primera División · Chile
Union Espanola
0 : 1 FT
Nublense
Win 37%
Draw 27%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#13 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Excelsior
2 : 0 FT
FC Volendam
✓ Win 40%
Draw 30%
Win 30%
BTTS Yes 58%
#14 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Almere City FC
2 : 2 FT
De Graafschap
Win 51%
Draw 22%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#15 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Taawon
1 : 1 FT
Al Shabab
Win 46%
Draw 25%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#16 Championship · England
Sheffield Utd
1 : 0 FT
Hull City
✓ Win 48%
Draw 23%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 62%
#17 Bundesliga · Germany
RB Leipzig
1 : 1 FT
Bayern München
Win 44%
Draw 23%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#18 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC OSS
1 : 2 FT
NAC Breda
Win 35%
Draw 22%
✓ Win 43%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#19 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
PEC Zwolle
2 : 0 FT
VVV Venlo
Win 35%
Draw 22%
Win 43%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 69%
#20 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Club Brugge II
2 : 1 FT
Lommel United
✓ Win 42%
Draw 22%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Friday 20 January 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Mallorca vs Celta Vigo at 48% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.