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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Wednesday 29 December 2021

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 17 fixtures on Wednesday 29 December 2021. Sporting CP vs Portimonense led the list at 45% in the Primeira Liga. The shortlist runs from 45% down to 26%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Championship supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 17 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the clean sheet market — 53%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Sporting CP
3 : 2 FT
Portimonense
✓ Win 36%
Draw 36%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 65%
#2 Premier League · England
Brentford
0 : 1 FT
Manchester City
Win 16%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 60%
✓ BTTS No 53%
#3 League Two · England
Barrow
0 : 0 FT
Oldham
Win 43%
Draw 34%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#4 Championship · England
Blackpool
1 : 2 FT
Middlesbrough
Win 29%
Draw 34%
✓ Win 36%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 63%
#5 League Two · England
Swindon Town
0 : 0 FT
Stevenage
Win 51%
Draw 30%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#6 Championship · England
Blackburn
2 : 1 FT
Barnsley
✓ Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 60%
#7 League One · England
Shrewsbury
0 : 0 FT
Accrington ST
Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
#8 Premier League · England
Chelsea
1 : 1 FT
Brighton
Win 50%
Draw 26%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#9 Championship · England
Coventry
0 : 1 FT
Millwall
Win 45%
Draw 29%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#10 League One · England
Morecambe
1 : 2 FT
Crewe
Win 41%
Draw 28%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 59%
#11 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Vitória SC
1 : 1 FT
Boavista
Win 59%
Draw 21%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#12 League One · England
Ipswich
1 : 0 FT
Wycombe
Win 28%
Draw 25%
Win 47%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%
#13 Super League · China
Hebei Zhongji
0 : 2 FT
Guangzhou Evergrande FC
Win 30%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 40%
BTTS Yes 56%
#14 League One · England
Oxford United
3 : 0 FT
AFC Wimbledon
✓ Win 47%
Draw 25%
Win 29%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 57%
#15 Super League · China
Shenzhen Ruby FC
0 : 1 FT
Changchun Yatai
Win 33%
Draw 31%
✓ Win 36%
BTTS Yes 55%
#16 Super League · China
Beijing Guoan
1 : 1 FT
Shandong Luneng
Win 32%
Draw 29%
Win 39%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#17 Super League · China
Guangzhou R&F
1 : 2 FT
SHANGHAI SIPG
Win 31%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 41%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%

Showing top 17 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Wednesday 29 December 2021?

17 fixtures met the criteria, led by Sporting CP vs Portimonense at 45% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.