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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Tuesday 28 December 2021

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

Eleven matches cleared our threshold on Tuesday 28 December 2021. The strongest reading belongs to Crystal Palace vs Norwich at 42% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 42% down to 20%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Super League supplies four of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the eleven fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the clean sheet market — 64%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier League Β· England
Crystal Palace
3 : 0 FT
Norwich
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#2 Premier League Β· England
Southampton
1 : 1 FT
Tottenham
Win 39%
Draw 31%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 57%
#3 Super League Β· China
Wuhan Zall
1 : 1 FT
Qingdao Huanghai
Win 46%
Draw 31%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#4 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Moreirense
1 : 0 FT
Estoril
Win 30%
Draw 30%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#5 Premier League Β· England
Watford
1 : 4 FT
West Ham
Win 29%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 43%
Under 2.5 53%
#6 Super League Β· China
Shanghai Shenhua
1 : 1 FT
Shijiazhuang Y. J.
Win 40%
Draw 31%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#7 Super League Β· China
Tianjin Teda
0 : 0 FT
Henan Jianye
Win 33%
Draw 31%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#8 Super League Β· China
Dalian Aerbin
0 : 1 FT
Chongqing Lifan
Win 32%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 37%
BTTS Yes 55%
#9 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Tondela
0 : 3 FT
GIL Vicente
Win 30%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 43%
✓ Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 58%
#10 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Maritimo
2 : 0 FT
Vizela
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 25%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 63%
#11 Premier League Β· England
Leicester
1 : 0 FT
Liverpool
Win 24%
Draw 20%
Win 55%
Over 2.5 77% BTTS Yes 74%

Showing top 11 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Tuesday 28 December 2021?

eleven fixtures met the criteria, led by Crystal Palace vs Norwich at 42% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.