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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Saturday 9 October 2021

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 9 October 2021. The strongest reading belongs to Atletico-MG vs Ceara at 62% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 62% down to 35%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Serie A supplies four of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the clean sheet market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A Β· Brazil
Atletico-MG
3 : 1 FT
Ceara
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 25%
Win 8%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 67% Atletico-MG Clean Sheet 62%
#2 Serie A Β· Brazil
Sport Recife
1 : 0 FT
Corinthians
Win 21%
Draw 42%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 84% ✓ BTTS No 74% Corinthians Clean Sheet 57%
#3 League One Β· England
Plymouth
2 : 1 FT
Burton Albion
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 29%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 65%
#4 League Two Β· England
Hartlepool
2 : 1 FT
Northampton
Win 36%
Draw 38%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 77% BTTS No 67%
#5 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC Eindhoven
2 : 1 FT
FC OSS
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 57%
#6 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
York United
1 : 1 FT
Atlético Ottawa
Win 52%
Draw 28%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 56%
#7 League Two Β· England
Harrogate Town
6 : 1 FT
Scunthorpe
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 30%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 54%
#8 Serie A Β· Brazil
Atletico Paranaense
0 : 2 FT
Bahia
Win 58%
Draw 26%
Win 16%
#9 Serie A Β· Brazil
Fortaleza EC
0 : 3 FT
Flamengo
Win 18%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 54%
#10 League Two Β· England
Newport County
0 : 0 FT
Bradford
Win 46%
Draw 31%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
#11 Serie A Β· Brazil
Fluminense
0 : 0 FT
Atletico Goianiense
Win 25%
Draw 33%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#12 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
VVV Venlo
2 : 0 FT
MVV
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 20%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 54%
#13 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Nong Bua Pitchaya
1 : 2 FT
Chiangrai United
Win 24%
Draw 36%
βœ“ Win 40%
Under 2.5 61%
#14 League Two Β· England
Rochdale
0 : 1 FT
Crawley Town
Win 36%
Draw 34%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#15 Primera División Β· Chile
Everton de Vina
1 : 0 FT
Universidad de Chile
Win 29%
Draw 32%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#16 League Two Β· England
Stevenage
2 : 2 FT
Exeter City
Win 28%
Draw 33%
Win 39%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 53%
#17 League Two Β· England
Sutton Utd
4 : 3 FT
Port Vale
βœ“ Win 37%
Draw 33%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 54%
#18 Primera División Β· Chile
Antofagasta
1 : 0 FT
D. Melipilla
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 26%
Win 22%
BTTS Yes 54%
#19 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
Cavalry FC
1 : 1 FT
FC Edmonton
Win 35%
Draw 33%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 55%
#20 League One Β· England
Ipswich
2 : 1 FT
Shrewsbury
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 22%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 9 October 2021?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Atletico-MG vs Ceara at 62% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.