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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Sunday 10 October 2021

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 14 fixtures on Sunday 10 October 2021. ADO Den Haag vs Den Bosch sits top on 43% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 43% down to 24%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Serie A supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 14 fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the clean sheet market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
ADO Den Haag
3 : 2 FT
Den Bosch
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
#2 Serie A Β· Brazil
Internacional
5 : 2 FT
Chapecoense-sc
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 34%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 56%
#3 Serie A Β· Brazil
Santos
1 : 0 FT
Gremio
βœ“ Win 36%
Draw 35%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#4 Serie A Β· Brazil
Juventude
1 : 1 FT
America Mineiro
Win 37%
Draw 34%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 56%
#5 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Gangwon FC
2 : 2 FT
Jeju United FC
Win 38%
Draw 30%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 59%
#6 Primera División Β· Chile
Colo Colo
2 : 0 FT
Huachipato
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 30%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#7 Primera División Β· Chile
D. La Serena
2 : 1 FT
Cobresal
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 31%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 55%
#8 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Prachuap
0 : 0 FT
Pattaya United
Win 21%
Draw 31%
Win 48%
BTTS Yes 56%
#9 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Port FC
0 : 2 FT
Buriram United
Win 38%
Draw 35%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#10 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Dordrecht
0 : 1 FT
Helmond Sport
Win 39%
Draw 27%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#11 Serie A Β· Brazil
Palmeiras
2 : 4 FT
RB Bragantino
Win 29%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 41%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#12 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Almere City FC
1 : 2 FT
De Graafschap
Win 22%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 56%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#13 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Chonburi FC
1 : 0 FT
Suphanburi
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 33%
Win 29%
BTTS Yes 58%
#14 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Ratchaburi
2 : 0 FT
Chiangmai United
Win 31%
Draw 31%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 63%

Showing top 14 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 10 October 2021?

14 fixtures met the criteria, led by ADO Den Haag vs Den Bosch at 43% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.