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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Saturday 17 April 2021

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 17 April 2021. Dundalk vs St Patrick's Athl. led the list at 51% in the Premier Division. The shortlist runs from 51% down to 27%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Superettan supplies four of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 19 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the clean sheet market — 58%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier Division · Ireland
Dundalk
1 : 1 FT
St Patrick's Athl.
Win 20%
Draw 32%
Win 48%
✓ Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 65%
#2 Superettan · Sweden
Vasalund
2 : 2 FT
Trelleborg
Win 46%
Draw 31%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 65%
#3 K League 1 · South-Korea
Incheon United
0 : 3 FT
Jeju United FC
Win 39%
Draw 38%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#4 Primera División · Chile
Huachipato
5 : 3 FT
Nublense
Win 26%
Draw 42%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 77% BTTS No 65%
#5 Superettan · Sweden
Gais
1 : 0 FT
Vasteras SK FK
✓ Win 49%
Draw 29%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#6 Superettan · Sweden
IK brage
0 : 1 FT
Falkenbergs FF
Win 49%
Draw 29%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#7 Primera División · Chile
U. Catolica
2 : 1 FT
Curico Unido
✓ Win 40%
Draw 38%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 56%
#8 K League 1 · South-Korea
FC Seoul
0 : 1 FT
Daegu FC
Win 47%
Draw 32%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#9 Superettan · Sweden
AFC Eskilstuna
3 : 0 FT
Akropolis
✓ Win 43%
Draw 30%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#10 Premier Division · Ireland
Sligo Rovers
1 : 0 FT
Finn Harps
Win 26%
Draw 31%
Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#11 Bundesliga · Germany
SC Freiburg
4 : 0 FT
FC Schalke 04
✓ Win 69%
Draw 19%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 56%
#12 K League 1 · South-Korea
Suwon City FC
2 : 1 FT
Gangwon FC
✓ Win 36%
Draw 36%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 55%
#13 K League 1 · South-Korea
Gwangju FC
0 : 1 FT
Pohang Steelers
Win 29%
Draw 33%
✓ Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
#14 Bundesliga · Germany
Bayer Leverkusen
3 : 0 FT
1. FC Köln
✓ Win 51%
Draw 27%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 56%
#15 Bundesliga · Germany
VfL Wolfsburg
2 : 3 FT
Bayern München
Win 41%
Draw 30%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 55%
#16 Premier Division · Ireland
Shamrock Rovers
2 : 1 FT
Longford Town
Win 32%
Draw 29%
Win 39%
Under 2.5 57%
#17 Bundesliga · Germany
FC Augsburg
0 : 0 FT
Arminia Bielefeld
Win 41%
Draw 29%
Win 30%
BTTS Yes 55%
#18 Bundesliga · Germany
Union Berlin
2 : 1 FT
VfB Stuttgart
✓ Win 42%
Draw 28%
Win 30%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#19 Allsvenskan · Sweden
Hammarby FF
2 : 0 FT
Mjallby AIF
✓ Win 37%
Draw 32%
Win 30%
BTTS Yes 57%
#20 Eliteserien · Norway
Lillestrom
– : – CANC
Tromso
Win 47%
Draw 26%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 62%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 17 April 2021?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Dundalk vs St Patrick's Athl. at 51% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.