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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability — Sunday 3 January 2027

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side — not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

13 fixtures clear the bar on Sunday 3 January 2027. Espanyol vs Barcelona sits top on 58% in the La Liga. The shortlist runs from 58% down to 32%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

La Liga supplies five of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 La Liga · Spain
Espanyol
: 16:00
Barcelona
Win 21%
Draw 21%
Win 58%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 59%
#2 Serie A · Italy
Monza
: 17:30
AC Milan
Win 22%
Draw 23%
Win 55%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 55%
#3 Serie A · Italy
Fiorentina
: 17:30
Lazio
Win 22%
Draw 28%
Win 50%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 60%
#4 Serie A · Italy
Parma
: 17:30
Napoli
Win 25%
Draw 27%
Win 48%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 54%
#5 Serie A · Italy
Bologna
: 17:30
Juventus
Win 26%
Draw 28%
Win 46%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 55%
#6 La Liga · Spain
Celta Vigo
: 16:00
Deportivo La Coruna
Win 34%
Draw 25%
Win 42%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 60%
#7 Serie A · Italy
Udinese
: 17:30
Atalanta
Win 36%
Draw 28%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 58%
#8 La Liga · Spain
Racing Santander
: 16:00
Athletic Club
Win 41%
Draw 24%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 63%
#9 La Liga · Spain
Malaga
: 16:00
Elche
Win 36%
Draw 29%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 54%
#10 La Liga · Spain
Villarreal
: 16:00
Sevilla
Win 43%
Draw 22%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 68%
#11 Serie A · Italy
Como
: 17:30
Lecce
Win 38%
Draw 27%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 55%
#12 Ligue 1 · France
Lens
: 19:45
Paris Saint Germain
Win 40%
Draw 25%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 67%
#13 Serie A · Italy
Cagliari
: 17:30
Genoa
Win 37%
Draw 32%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 62%

Showing top 13 fixtures by away win probability (≥ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win — common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Sunday 3 January 2027?

13 fixtures met the criteria, led by Espanyol vs Barcelona at 58% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.