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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability — Saturday 2 January 2027

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side — not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

13 matches clear our threshold on Saturday 2 January 2027. Metz vs Nancy tops the list at 53% in the Ligue 2. The shortlist runs from 53% down to 31%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Ligue 2 supplies six of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ligue 2 · France
Metz
– : – 19:00
Nancy
Win 26%
Draw 20%
Win 53%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 70%
#2 Ligue 2 · France
Clermont Foot
– : – 19:00
PAU
Win 23%
Draw 27%
Win 50%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 55%
#3 Ligue 2 · France
Rodez
– : – 19:00
RED Star FC 93
Win 28%
Draw 23%
Win 49%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 62%
#4 Ligue 1 · France
Estac Troyes
– : – 20:00
Rennes
Win 30%
Draw 22%
Win 49%
Over 2.5 77% BTTS Yes 76%
#5 League One · England
Cambridge United
– : – 15:00
Mansfield Town
Win 29%
Draw 25%
Win 47%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 67%
#6 Ligue 2 · France
Annecy
– : – 19:00
Saint Etienne
Win 34%
Draw 26%
Win 40%
BTTS Yes 53%
#7 League One · England
Plymouth
– : – 15:00
Luton
Win 33%
Draw 28%
Win 40%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 61%
#8 Ligue 2 · France
Dijon
– : – 19:00
Nantes
Win 40%
Draw 24%
Win 37%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 64%
#9 Ligue 1 · France
Stade Brestois 29
– : – 16:00
Marseille
Win 40%
Draw 25%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 67%
#10 Ligue 2 · France
Grenoble
– : – 19:00
Sochaux
Win 35%
Draw 31%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 59%
#11 Premier League · England
Nottingham Forest
– : – 15:00
Fulham
Win 30%
Draw 36%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 79% BTTS No 71%
#12 Ligue 2 · France
Dunkerque
– : – 19:00
Boulogne
Win 33%
Draw 34%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 76% BTTS No 68%
#13 Premier League · England
Sunderland
– : – 15:00
Hull City
Win 37%
Draw 32%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 64%

Showing top 13 fixtures by away win probability (≥ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win — common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Saturday 2 January 2027?

13 fixtures met the criteria, led by Metz vs Nancy at 53% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.