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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability — Sunday 27 December 2026

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side — not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

Eleven fixtures clear the bar on Sunday 27 December 2026. Casa Pia vs Famalicao sits top on 55% in the Primeira Liga. The shortlist runs from 55% down to 31%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Primeira Liga supplies five of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Casa Pia
: 16:00
Famalicao
Win 20%
Draw 25%
Win 55%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 54%
#2 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Maritimo
: 16:00
SC Braga
Win 23%
Draw 24%
Win 53%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 54%
#3 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
KV Mechelen
: 18:15
Zulte Waregem
Win 26%
Draw 23%
Win 51%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 57%
#4 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Benfica
: 16:00
Sporting CP
Win 32%
Draw 23%
Win 46%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 64%
#5 Serie B · Italy
Cesena
: 14:00
Pisa
Win 33%
Draw 26%
Win 41%
BTTS Yes 53%
#6 Serie B · Italy
Cremonese
: 14:00
Ascoli
Win 35%
Draw 25%
Win 40%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%
#7 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Anderlecht
: 12:30
St. Truiden
Win 35%
Draw 27%
Win 38%
Under 2.5 54%
#8 Serie B · Italy
Modena
: 14:00
Palermo
Win 36%
Draw 27%
Win 38%
Under 2.5 54%
#9 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Moreirense
: 16:00
Academico Viseu
Win 39%
Draw 26%
Win 35%
BTTS Yes 55%
#10 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Estoril
: 16:00
Alverca
Win 39%
Draw 27%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 54%
#11 Serie B · Italy
Avellino
: 14:00
Juve Stabia
Win 41%
Draw 28%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 57%

Showing top 11 fixtures by away win probability (≥ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win — common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Sunday 27 December 2026?

eleven fixtures met the criteria, led by Casa Pia vs Famalicao at 55% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.