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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Friday 23 October 2026

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

13 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 23 October 2026. Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC sits top on 63% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 63% down to 31%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 13 fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the away win market — 54%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Qadisiyah FC
2 : 3 FT
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Win 16%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 63%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#2 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
NAC Breda
1 : 1 FT
Heracles
Win 21%
Draw 17%
Win 61%
Over 2.5 81% ✓ BTTS Yes 75%
#3 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Faisaly FC
1 : 3 FT
Al-Nassr
Win 17%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 58%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#4 Championship Β· England
Bolton
1 : 5 FT
Middlesbrough
Win 23%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 54%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#5 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Widzew Łódź
1 : 1 FT
Gornik Zabrze
Win 17%
Draw 34%
Win 49%
✓ Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 56%
#6 Ligue 2 Β· France
Sochaux
1 : 3 FT
Annecy
Win 27%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 43%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 54%
#7 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
VfL Bochum
1 : 1 FT
VfL Wolfsburg
Win 32%
Draw 25%
Win 43%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#8 Premier League Β· England
Ipswich
1 : 1 FT
Nottingham Forest
Win 36%
Draw 25%
Win 39%
Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#9 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Galway United
0 : 0 FT
St Patrick's Athl.
Win 26%
Draw 35%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 62%
#10 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Veres Rivne
0 : 2 FT
Kolos Kovalivka
Win 31%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 39%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 59%
#11 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
De Graafschap
1 : 1 FT
Waalwijk
Win 41%
Draw 25%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#12 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Vitesse
0 : 2 FT
Emmen
Win 45%
Draw 22%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 70%
#13 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Bohemians
0 : 1 FT
Shelbourne
Win 38%
Draw 31%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 59%

Showing top 13 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Friday 23 October 2026?

13 fixtures met the criteria, led by Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC at 63% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.