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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability — Saturday 15 November 2025

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side — not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

13 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 15 November 2025. The strongest reading belongs to Sport Recife vs Flamengo at 65% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 65% down to 31%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

League Two supplies four of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 13 fixtures on this list that have since finished, two landed the away win market — 15%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A · Brazil
Sport Recife
1 : 5 FT
Flamengo
Win 15%
Draw 20%
✓ Win 65%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#2 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC Eindhoven
3 : 3 FT
Cambuur
Win 17%
Draw 20%
Win 63%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#3 League One · England
Port Vale
0 : 0 FT
Wycombe
Win 24%
Draw 29%
Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#4 League Two · England
Shrewsbury
1 : 0 FT
Newport County
Win 29%
Draw 28%
Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#5 League Two · England
Oldham
0 : 0 FT
Crewe
Win 30%
Draw 28%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#6 League One · England
Luton
0 : 0 FT
Rotherham
Win 29%
Draw 31%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#7 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Willem II
1 : 1 FT
Emmen
Win 37%
Draw 26%
Win 37%
#8 League Two · England
Cambridge United
0 : 0 FT
Barnet
Win 39%
Draw 27%
Win 35%
#9 League One · England
Burton Albion
1 : 0 FT
Blackpool
✓ Win 36%
Draw 30%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#10 League Two · England
Fleetwood Town
1 : 1 FT
Swindon Town
Win 45%
Draw 22%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#11 League Two · England
Milton Keynes Dons
2 : 0 FT
Salford City
✓ Win 43%
Draw 24%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 59%
#12 League Two · England
Walsall
0 : 2 FT
Colchester
Win 42%
Draw 27%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#13 League Two · England
Bromley
2 : 1 FT
Barrow
✓ Win 43%
Draw 26%
Win 31%

Showing top 13 fixtures by away win probability (≥ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win — common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Saturday 15 November 2025?

13 fixtures met the criteria, led by Sport Recife vs Flamengo at 65% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.